Archive for April 14, 2020

Corona virus questions

Posted: April 14, 2020 by chrisharper in Uncategorized
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By Christopher Harper

Despite all of the information swirling around about Covid-19, I still have a bunch of unanswered questions.

Why were the models so wrong? 

In the space of about a week starting April 2, two revisions on April 5 and 8 have utterly discredited the model produced by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Just days ago, the estimates called for the likelihood of 100,000 deaths, with as many as 240,000 a real possibility. On April 8, the projected cumulative deaths were slashed to about 60,000, with the upper range again cut to about 126,000. In less than a week, the model proved to be off by more than 33 percent.

Remember when the Imperial College of London “experts” said there might be more than two million dead in the United States?

Why can’t news organizations do the simple math necessary to tell the true story of the virus?

The overall infection rate and death rate do not accurately show the nature of the pandemic. In order to compare apples to apples, you divide the number of those infected or dead by the total population of the country.

That shows that the United States is doing a good job when compared with other countries. But an accurate view of the pandemic wouldn’t fit the meme that Trump has been doing a bad job.

Why did New York City experience such a high rate of infection?

Other cities had high incidents of the disease but nothing to compare with New York. At first, it was thought that the virus had come from China. Now it appears that the virus affecting New York and New Jersey was a mutation from Europe. At first, it seemed that the outbreak had started in New Rochelle in the suburbs, but the minority and Hasidic Jewish communities were hard hit. It would be worthwhile to trace the path of the virus in the New York metropolitan area.

Why did Los Angeles have such a low rate of infection?

The rate was much lower than in many parts of the country. Perhaps the dependence on driving and a lack of a public transit system actually helps in a pandemic.

Why did the developing world have such a low rate of infection?

As one Australian newspaper put it: “How does a palm-fringed lagoon in Fiji or New Caledonia sound or perhaps a dive resort in Papua New Guinea, a beachfront hotel in East Timor? The more adventurous might like to try Latvia, Slovakia, Vietnam, or Kuwait. If there weren’t travel bans, of course.”

Why did Germany, which clamped down early, have such a low rate of infection like Sweden, which did virtually nothing? 

Other questions have obvious answers: stupidity.

Why does anyone think the data from China is accurate?

Why did some states close liquor stores?

Why was it all right to use Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome in 2012 while the Wuhan Virus was racist?

The Corona Apocalypse Trap

Posted: April 14, 2020 by datechguy in Uncategorized

Pray do not fill your letters with rubbish about this European War. Its final issue is, no doubt, important, but that is a matter for the High Command. I am not in the least interested in knowing how many people in England have been killed by bombs. In what state of mind they died, I can learn from the office at this end. That they were going to die sometime, I knew already. Please keep your mind on your work,

Screwtape Letter 24

One of the things I’ve noticed a lot of, which is something that others might not have, have been Christians looking at this entire Corona Virus thing as either a judgement of God or an attack by the devil.

It worth reminding everyone of these remarks by Christ on the subject:

At that time some people who were present there told him about the Galileans whose blood Pilate had mingled with the blood of their sacrifices.   He said to them in reply, “Do you think that because these Galileans suffered in this way they were greater sinners than all other Galileans?  By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all perish as they did!

Or those eighteen people who were killed when the tower at Siloam fell on them  – do you think they were more guilty than everyone else who lived in Jerusalem?  By no means! But I tell you, if you do not repent, you will all perish as they did!“

Luke 13:1-5

The #1 cause of death among humans is life. Once you are connived and alive you are doomed to die. People keep panicking over death but every person who reads this will die, but so will every person who doesn’t.

The corona virus stuff only matters in terms of heaven and hell in terms of how it affects individual souls. C.S. Lewis elaborates on this further in Screwtape 28:

When I told you not to fill your letters with rubbish about the war, I meant, of course, that I did not want to have your rather infantile rhapsodies about the death of men and the destruction of cities. In so far as the war really concerns the spiritual state of the patient, I naturally want full reports. And on this aspect you seem singularly obtuse. Thus you tell me !with glee that there is reason to expect heavy air raids on the town where the creature lives. This is a crying example of something I have complained about already – your readiness to forget the main point in your immediate enjoyment of human suffering. Do you not know that bombs kill men? Or do you not realise that the patient’s death, at this moment, is precisely what we want to avoid?

The last thing the devil wants is a person dying in a state of grace. The death of a person in a state of grace is a loss for the Devil and a gain for that person because if one dies in a state of grace they avoid hell forever. A long life that ends in an eternity in Hell is not a net plus.

Furthermore to obsess on the actual or supposed sins of other and cause us to take our eyes off the state of our own sins. There is a reason why Pride is the 1st of the deadly sins.

In other words rather than worrying about if this Corona Wuhan CCP Virus pandemic is God’s judgement on anybody else, let’s try to do God’s will today.

An awful lot of people who are serving their fellow man in this crisis seem to be doing that, and I suspect that fact is a disaster for the forces of darkness.