Amid all of the political news that we’ve been talking about the 2nd biggest story in the world is getting very little play.
Namely that Ukraine is still holding it’s ground in Russia and continues to use drones to strike within their territory.
The situation is mostly unchanged from last week. Ukraine continues to operate freely in Kursk. You can catch my update on that operation here: Russia Invaded, Week 2. State of Play.
Russian airstrikes continue to drop, some of that can be attributed to Russian aircraft being deployed out of range of Ukrainan drones and thereby reducing their sortie rates. We have experienced the longest sustained period without a massive Russian missile attack since the war began. This, by my count, 45-day drought is 35% longer than the last 34-day dry spell between February 16 and March 22, 2024. While I can only guess why this is happening, the fact is it is happening. That the invasion of Kursk hasn’t provoked a missile blitz is very curious.
Furthermore some of Russia’s former allies are getting cold feet:
and even some of the folks who we thought might be joining in when the world thought Russia would just walk through Ukraine without a problem are singing a different tune.
For quite a while Russia has been considered an unstoppable military machine, but think about the answer to this question:
When is the last time Russia won a war an actual war vs an army that fights back when it did not have the US:
- Supplying it with arms
- Carpet bombing Russia enemies?
Hmmm.
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