I took the liberty of looking at the numbers of each the outstanding house seats. 7 in California, 1 in Arizona, 1 in Colorado and 1 in Alaska.
I do not claim intimate knowledge of any of these districts but based on the numbers I saw and the amount of vote left to count I’d say of those ten seats the GOP will win 4 for sure, 1 likely and one with a little luck. Even if disaster strikes I see them getting at least the two they need for control of the chamber.
What’s interesting is that 5 of those seats are currently held by the GOP and 5 by democrats but it looks like they will swap a few. Of those 10 still counting seats 7 were ranked toss ups, 1 safe dem, 1 likely dem and 1 leans dem. Yet the numbers don’t seem to reflect this.
It’s very likely that local issues are the overriding factor in many of these races and as I said I’m not competent enough to in terms of knowledge of these seats to know for sure, but given what I see and the numbers left to go, that’s my prediction and I’m sticking with it.
I’m guessing we’ll know for sure by the end of the day tomorrow.
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