Archive for the ‘middle east’ Category

Why I Think This Hostage Deal Will Come Through

Posted: January 12, 2025 by datechguy in Always look at the bright side of Trump, Blame Biden Administration, middle east
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I am a Northern man, and I know my people. I know their peculiar weaknesses and their national vanity. I know we can get better terms from them on the 4th of July than any other day of the year. We must sacrifice our pride to these considerations.

General John Pemberton on why he surrendered the City of Vicksburg to Grant on the 4th of July

In between browsing stories of the criminal incompetency of Democrats in California I noticed this piece linked at Elder of Ziyon concerning a possible hostage deal:

Officials in Washington were cautiously optimistic on Friday about the prospects of closing a hostage-ceasefire deal in Gaza before the end of US President Joe Biden’s term, with CIA Director William Burns assessing ongoing negotiations in Doha as “quite serious” and White House National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby saying he believes a hostage deal is possible before January 20.

In his interview on NPR’s “All Things Considered,” the CIA chief said, “Negotiations going on right now are quite serious and do offer the possibility, at least, of getting this done in the next couple of weeks.”

Usually I would consider the Biden administration odds of pulling something like this off less likely as Lynda Carter showing up at my doorstep and declaring uncontrollable desire for me but for the next 7 or eight days the stars are aligned in a way that provides massive incentives for both the Biden administration and Hamas to get this done.

For all of the screaming of their allies on campus concerning the Biden administration aiding their Zionist enemy they know Hamas understands that this administration is a secret ally and that they are likely to get better terms from the Biden team then they will from the Trump team. Furthermore any such terms will not involve them being killed.

Additionally Hamas’ backers in Qatar know that the only reason that Israel has not taken them out as the enablers of Hamas is due to US interests in their nation. Donald Trump however is a wild card who they can not predict. Furthermore he does not have to get elected again so he has very little to lose politically. If he tells Israeli that any operations against said leaders and financers of Hamas in Qatar from financial, to assassination or even military as long as he doesn’t know about it is not America’s business things might happen. The only thing you can do with millions if you’re dead is have a big funeral and a large tomb.

Those are pretty big incentives on the Arab side but they pale before the incentives of the Biden administration to go out with a success and deny Trump one. The Biden Administration has made it quite clear that they’re willing to harm America if it can hinder a future Trump administration. They can thus kill two birds with one stone by making a deal beneficial to Hamas and their terror allies while they still have the authority to do so. They can funnel them millions (minus the big guy’s 10% of course) make concessions and perhaps even arm them laying the groundwork for trouble for the administration all in the name of releasing the hostages because they know their allies in media and the UN will focus on the hostages release and ignore any long term harm any deal can bring. If they can get it done by the 18th or even the 17th There can be two days of pushing the Biden success rather than the Trump threat of hell to pay.

In short, like Confederate General John Pemberton at Vicksburg, Hamas, Qatar, the UN and international terror funding machine, international anti-Semites and the Biden administration know they can get better terms on any day before January 20th then they will any time after that date.

That’s my I think it’s likely we’ll see a deal.

Three Blog Days Left, No Jews No News Same as it Ever Was

Posted: December 29, 2024 by datechguy in middle east
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One of the things that has been pretty consistent since the start of the blog has been Palestinian violence and the unwillingness of the media/left to condemn it when it’s against Jews or report it when it’s against their fellow Arabs.

Some things never change:

https://twitter.com/EYakoby/status/1873385458715267138

and this:

https://twitter.com/EYakoby/status/1873382523079933973

As there are no Jews involved this is not considered Newsworthy.

#unexpectedly of course.

If every Jew in the Middle East disappeared tomorrow the Arabs would not even need a week to start slaughtering each other. If you don’t believe me ask the Syrians.

Closing Thought: Actually there is one difference from the early days of the blog. Israel finally said enough and have leveled Hamas and dug them out of their tunnels.

Should have been done the first time the rockets fell.

Five Nasty Surprises Under the Fedora: 15 Million Day, Oddly not Blaming the Gun This Time, Bluesky the Robespierre Wet Dream, Israel Doing what Nobody Else Wants to do For Them and More Red Pillings

Posted: December 16, 2024 by datechguy in Always look at the bright side of Trump, culture, Israel, media, middle east, politics
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As Usual the great Bryon York does a spectacular Job in explaining how the desire to falsely call Donald Trump a rapist was pushed by a Judge with an agenda. Alas agendas are not the same as the law as ABC and George Stephanopoulos found out at a cost of 15 Mil.

There are plenty of lefty influencers who are well paid that Trump can soak, he should go after every one.

It will be a lot of fun to see the Trump organization continue to sue these folks and make them pay.

Justine Bateman and I both noticed something interesting about the left’s reaction to the CEO murder.

So not only is nobody calling for Gun Control as Justine notes, but nobody is blaming the gun this time for the killing, or as it should be if the left was consistent celebrating the gun.

Apparently people are the killers when the left approves of the killing and guns are the killers when they don’t.

Speaking of the left and violence…

Well without risk until Jan 21st 2025 anyway.

If the French Terror had social media Bluesky would be their spot.

Remember when it was said illegal immigrants were “doing jobs Americans aren’t willing to do anymore”?

Apparently the Israeli’s are the “illegal immigrants” doing the job that the west wants done but doesn’t want to dirty their hands with…

…albeit it’s done out of their own self preservation.

Of course I suspect Jihadi’s will get all the nuclear weapons they want once they’re done taking over England.

There is a group of people who will never listen to any kind of conservative media because in their mind to do so crosses some kind of “purity test” so the only time they get any kind of message that penetrates their bubble world is if someone else chooses to report it.

Enter Stephen A Smith:

The number of people who follow Stephen A Smith who have likely never consumed conservative media is considerable and he is a significant enough black voice that the MSM blacklists him at their peril, so when he is reporting that the FBI admits to having at least 26 informants on the ground on J6, that’s going to open quite a few eyes.

It’s as if the whole corrupt mess is collapsing and Trump isn’t even sworn in yet.

Syria: Four Perfect Sentences and A Countdown

Posted: December 8, 2024 by datechguy in Always look at the bright side of Trump, middle east
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Pat Wheeler: Son, l……asked you over here because the Sheriff’s a friend of mine. He’s got trouble. He can use a good man.

Colorado Ryan: To go against the Burdettes, Sheriff?

Sheriff Chance: That’s right.

Pat Wheeler: I told him you were one of the best.

Colorado Ryan: Well…I’ll tell you what I’m a lot better at, Mr. Wheeler… that’s minding my own business. No offense, Sheriff.

Sheriff Chance: No offense.

Pat Wheeler: I never expected that.

Sheriff Chance: He showed good sense. like to have him.

Rio Bravo 1959

There were a lot of parables that Jesus told during his time teaching on earth. One of the most important ones is often ignored. It’s about prudence.

Which of you wishing to construct a tower does not first sit down and calculate the cost to see if there is enough for its completion? Otherwise, after laying the foundation and finding himself unable to finish the work the onlookers should laugh at him and say, ‘This one began to build but did not have the resources to finish.’

Or what king marching into battle would not first sit down and decide whether with ten thousand troops he can successfully oppose another king advancing upon him with twenty thousand troops? But if not, while he is still far away, he will send a delegation to ask for peace terms.

Luke 14 28-32

While it’s about the costs of discipleship it’s also about knowing what can be done and what can’t

And that brings me to Syria, one of the best evaluations of the situation that I read is in Arabic

https://twitter.com/Ibrahim_3eissa/status/1865709633647616057

It Translates thus:

Assad is another Arab dictator who has not learned from history. There is not a single dictator who has learned from history. The tragic thing is that the dictator falls and the state collapses and disintegrates, chaos spreads and overthrows, because the dictator creates a state of paper, and an authority of straw, based on oppression and repression. He crushes any alternatives or civil opposition, and then the terrorists come and crush him and crush everything. Syria is on its way to another Libya, another Taliban, or another Turkish-Brotherhood hegemony, but it will not return to the first Syria.

This is spot on. It’s a mess and it’s going to be messier. You know who also sees things in Syria as they are? Donald Trump:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1865434273953509462

Here is the full tweet, and note the last four sentences emphasis his:

Opposition fighters in Syria, in an unprecedented move, have totally taken over numerous cities, in a highly coordinated offensive, and are now on the outskirts of Damascus, obviously preparing to make a very big move toward taking out Assad. Russia, because they are so tied up in Ukraine, and with the loss there of over 600,000 soldiers, seems incapable of stopping this literal march through Syria, a country they have protected for years. This is where former President Obama refused to honor his commitment of protecting the RED LINE IN THE SAND, and all hell broke out, with Russia stepping in. But now they are, like possibly Assad himself, being forced out, and it may actually be the best thing that can happen to them. There was never much of a benefit in Syria for Russia, other than to make Obama look really stupid. In any event, Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT. LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!

The evaluation of Russia’s situation is good but what’s even better is his declaration that the United States should not get involved in that fight.

It’s not our mess and all that will happen if we get involved in it will be a lot of money and dead Americans for no return.

The good news is that in 43 days we’ll have a president who understands this.

The bad news is that until then we don’t know what the people who are currently running the country will do. I would not put it past them to try to get us in this mess just to mess up Trump.

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