I am a Northern man, and I know my people. I know their peculiar weaknesses and their national vanity. I know we can get better terms from them on the 4th of July than any other day of the year. We must sacrifice our pride to these considerations.

General John Pemberton on why he surrendered the City of Vicksburg to Grant on the 4th of July

In between browsing stories of the criminal incompetency of Democrats in California I noticed this piece linked at Elder of Ziyon concerning a possible hostage deal:

Officials in Washington were cautiously optimistic on Friday about the prospects of closing a hostage-ceasefire deal in Gaza before the end of US President Joe Biden’s term, with CIA Director William Burns assessing ongoing negotiations in Doha as “quite serious” and White House National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby saying he believes a hostage deal is possible before January 20.

In his interview on NPR’s “All Things Considered,” the CIA chief said, “Negotiations going on right now are quite serious and do offer the possibility, at least, of getting this done in the next couple of weeks.”

Usually I would consider the Biden administration odds of pulling something like this off less likely as Lynda Carter showing up at my doorstep and declaring uncontrollable desire for me but for the next 7 or eight days the stars are aligned in a way that provides massive incentives for both the Biden administration and Hamas to get this done.

For all of the screaming of their allies on campus concerning the Biden administration aiding their Zionist enemy they know Hamas understands that this administration is a secret ally and that they are likely to get better terms from the Biden team then they will from the Trump team. Furthermore any such terms will not involve them being killed.

Additionally Hamas’ backers in Qatar know that the only reason that Israel has not taken them out as the enablers of Hamas is due to US interests in their nation. Donald Trump however is a wild card who they can not predict. Furthermore he does not have to get elected again so he has very little to lose politically. If he tells Israeli that any operations against said leaders and financers of Hamas in Qatar from financial, to assassination or even military as long as he doesn’t know about it is not America’s business things might happen. The only thing you can do with millions if you’re dead is have a big funeral and a large tomb.

Those are pretty big incentives on the Arab side but they pale before the incentives of the Biden administration to go out with a success and deny Trump one. The Biden Administration has made it quite clear that they’re willing to harm America if it can hinder a future Trump administration. They can thus kill two birds with one stone by making a deal beneficial to Hamas and their terror allies while they still have the authority to do so. They can funnel them millions (minus the big guy’s 10% of course) make concessions and perhaps even arm them laying the groundwork for trouble for the administration all in the name of releasing the hostages because they know their allies in media and the UN will focus on the hostages release and ignore any long term harm any deal can bring. If they can get it done by the 18th or even the 17th There can be two days of pushing the Biden success rather than the Trump threat of hell to pay.

In short, like Confederate General John Pemberton at Vicksburg, Hamas, Qatar, the UN and international terror funding machine, international anti-Semites and the Biden administration know they can get better terms on any day before January 20th then they will any time after that date.

That’s my I think it’s likely we’ll see a deal.

One of the things I’ve complained about for years is that the left chooses justices because they can reliably be counted on to vote for their priorities rather than based on the law, that is, they don’t examine the law and come to a conclusion producing an argument to support that conclusion, they start with the conclusion they want and then create an argument to bend or break the law to obtain that conclusion. For example you will not find a single 7-2 decision last year where the “2” included 2 of the three liberal justices.

I’ve also complained about old yellowstain Justice Roberts noting that he is almost always a conditional vote for the left, that is, if an issue is one the left considers vital politically then he will wait to see where the tally is.

If there are five votes against it, then he’ll vote with the conservatives as he can’t make a difference, but if he is the swing vote, he will reliably vote with the left. (If you want evidence look at this chart. I found only one case last year when Roberts voted against Sotomayor in a 5-4 decision that went conservative)

Now I think this is a bad thing, I think that a justice should look at the law, look at the constitution and then make a ruling based on that, not on what is politically expedient for their own side. If I thought for one moment that that liberal three were doing this, I would not have an issue with how they vote, but the evidence that this was the case is that you would occasionally see one of them vote with the right or be alone in a 8-1 decision.

Or take Justice Thomas he as a specific philosophy concerning the Constitution that is well known being that the Constitution means what is says and you will constantly see him vote based on that philosophy even if he is alone.

And that brings us to Amy Coney Barrett, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh

You might note that occasionally the left will win a decision because Gorsuch or Barrett or Kavanaugh (less often) will vote with them and Roberts will join with the left (the one exception last year being Department of Education v. Louisiana where Roberts didn’t join with Gorsuch in voting with the left).

This is because Gorsuch, Barrett and Kavanaugh not being political stooges will occasionally have a different opinion on a subject than the conservative line. In real life this is considered normal and healthy, particularly when you are considering scholars looking at deep arguments formed over centuries of constitutional law.

This is how I want my justices to be so when I occasionally get a ruling that might give a slight political advantage to the left because, such as the ruling not to stay the sentencing of Trump today I’m not going to start saying things like this.

and this:

and this

I just shake my head.

If you put people who think in positions of power occasionally they will think differently than you. That’s the whole point of an independent judiciary rather than a political one.

Either you want an independent judiciary or you don’t. I want one.

And frankly as a person for whom the pro-life cause takes precedence if the cost of repealing Roe was this decision I’d take it six days a week and twice on sunday.

Closing thought: I actually think that allowing the sentencing is to Trump’s advantage in the long term myself, but that’s a post for another day.

“First we must cross the river,” Benito was saying.  “Do you believe me now when I tell you that you must not attempt to swim it, or even get wet from it, or must you try that too?”

“What happens if I just dive in?”

“Then you will be as you were in the bottle.  Aware and unable to move.  but it will be very cold, and very uncomfortable, and you will be there for all eternity knowing that you put yourself there.”

Larry Niven & Jerry Pournelle Inferno 1976

Generations of people understood what Jon Gabriel is saying here

The text:

Just 11 months ago, LA had the most rainfall in the past 25 years, and several extra feet of snowpack in the Sierras. Since CA is too busy destroying dams to build new reservoirs, the majority of that precipitation drained into the ocean. Newsom’s Democrats own this.

I wonder how many of those people who are fleeing for their lives cheered when those dams were destroyed?

Richie Spike and Fonzie via Youtube Capture

Fonzie: [after being humiliated by 15 uncontrollable kids] They figured out my weakness the Fonz does not hit little kids. [starts to leave]

Richie: So where are you going?

Fonzie: To find someone who does eyyy!

[After returning with his nephew spike]

Fonzie:but if Spike hits you that’ s just one little kid hitting another and that’s not against the law.

Happy Days Football Frolics 1976

If you have the stomach for it read this post concerning the Mass Rape of White Girls in England by Pakistani Muslim men for the last 20 year and the left ignoring to preserve their multicultural myth.

Every racially aggravating factor you could imagine is present. First, there is substantial evidence that the young girls in question were targeted because they were white. In these communities of Pakistani Muslim rapists, hardly any of the victims were Pakistani Muslim women.

But if you REALLY want to see what the solution to the problem is, look at this comment in the piece:

lms214 hours ago

It wasn’t just white girls, though it was mostly them, but Sikh and Hindu girls.
The fathers of the Sikh and Hindu girls went after their Muslim attackers armed with swords and other weapons, and there were battles in the streets. Some might have been arrested, I can’t remember, but they didn’t face the usual left-wing go-to accusations of being “far right” or “racists.”
And the Muslim men did not go after those girls again (emphasis DTG).
The Sikhs set up the Sikh Awareness Society to warn their local girls of the potential dangers. No such warnings were ever given to white girls that I know of, bearing in mind they would have been told repeatedly that everyone is the same, and it’s racist to regard other races in any way except favourably. The State groomed them almost as much as those gangs…

Yes you read that right, the same “multicultural” BS that prevented the authorities from protecting White British girls from being protected from these people allowed the Sikh’s to defend and save their daughters without fear of arrest and hinderance.

And because incentives matter Sikh girls were spared and white girls were not because there was an incentive for Pakistani men to avoid targeting them.

Frankly if I was a British father in this situation I would approach the Sikh community as Bonasera did Don Corleone hat in hand to ensure that scum would be suffering that very day.