Posts Tagged ‘big red wave’

The Lean vs Likely on Barney Frank

Posted: October 29, 2010 by datechguy in congress, elections, opinion/news, politics
Tags: , , , , , ,

A lot of people are breathless on Cook’s moving Barney Frank from “likely democrat” to “lean democrat”.

Anyone who has been actually paying attention to this race on the ground has seen for weeks that all the momentum has been Sean Bielat way.

Anyone looking at Bumper stickers in the state over the last two years noticed a change.

Anyone looking at the competitive REPUBLICAN primaries and a VERY successful write in campaign with little or no state GOP help knew that something was happening.

Anyone who has been doing calling and canvasing in Massachusetts knows that unenrolled (Independents) are breaking Republican all over the state, and 51% of the people in this state are registered “unenrolled”.

The Big Red Wave is coming and it will wash over this state up and down the tickets, only the considerable number of 3rd party candidates (have they had some help?) put some of the republican wins in doubt. I’ve been making this case for a month and people have discounted it.

It’s going to be a long night for the donkeys and Massachusetts is not going to provide a whole lot of comfort.

On Tuesday evening we are going to find out who is right on O’Donnell

Posted: October 28, 2010 by datechguy in elections, opinion/news, politics, tea parties
Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Tuesday at the debate I was talking Big Red Wave with an aide to a republican candidate for statewide office, although he was feeling highly confident on his local race when I said to him that the wave would be even bigger.

I started mentioning the anecdotal evidence I’ve seen in district after district he was unimpressed.

When I brought up Christine O’Donnell and Chris Coon’s sudden Volte Face he immediately dismissed me as ignorant and my opinion unworthy.

Well if all he sees are polls like this that’s one thing, but then there is stuff like this:

Yesterday, a poll went around showing Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.

But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?

This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.

Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.

and this:

We have seen reliable polling that shows O’Donnell is within single digits, and Coons can’t break 50%. What is more, these polls rely on a turn-out model that is relatively conservative and, contrary to what pundits think, a much higher than normal turn-out could mean the polls are off by as much as 5-6 or more points. In the primary, most polls showed O’Donnell down by a few or tied, however she won by 6 points, a figure higher than most of the pre-vote polls and outside of their margin of error.

Why is this happening, and why might the pundits, once again, have egg on their face on election day?

Voters in Delaware are learning from reliable internet sources, despite a near blackout by the elite political press, more and more about Coons and his record.

One is right and one is wrong, but I can’t forget the Globe polls that showed Martha Coakley up 15 points:

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points – 53 percent to 36 percent – when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

and of course my favorite of all newspaper quotes:

The Mainstream media knows all

Somebody is right here and somebody is wrong here, by this time next week we will find out.

Update: Of course liberals always use these tactics when up 15 pts don’t they?

Peg and Ed Koch get it

Posted: October 28, 2010 by datechguy in elections, politics
Tags: , , , , , ,

At What if (One of our featured blogs of the Month) Peg links to an Ed Koch column that sees what I do:

It is for these reasons, I believe, the coming November tsunami will roll across America and give the Republicans, who are undeserving of the honor, control of both Houses. The American public is enraged and wants to punish those who have been in charge of the country. They know those who will replace incumbents may be as bad or worse, but they also believe they can’t do any greater damage.

Koch is more sure of the Big Red Wave than Peg is but look at the emphasis in the excerpt.

When I’ve told people that the tea party doesn’t trust the republicans, I’ve been laughed at. People on the left totally believe the tea party is a wholly owned totally bought subsidiary of the GOP. At the 9/12 rally when I plunged into the crowd NOT A SINGLE PERSON IN IT WHEN ASKED SAID THEY TRUSTED THE GOP and all said that if the GOP kept spending they would be back to protest them.

I have faith in the Big Red Wave, it’s the Grand Old Party that worries me.

And Democratic tactics continue to be “interesting”

Posted: October 27, 2010 by datechguy in elections, politics
Tags: , , , ,

Well it’s been 48 hours since that last post I’m sure it’s was just a blip on the scene of the national election:

Thirty-four more people will be charged with voter fraud in Hennepin County in the 2008 election, County Attorney Mike Freeman announced Tuesday, bringing the total cases of alleged abuse to 47 for that election year.

Freeman’s office announced the decision a week after the county sheriff announced voting-related charges against seven people, most of whom are accused of registering to vote while ineligible

Minnesota, wasn’t that where after court cases and recount after recount democrats managed to find enough votes to elect Al Franken?

And anyway this is an old case just as this one is and anyway just because one teachers group knew about a stolen election doesn’t mean they are still stealing them does it?

There also seem to be some “interesting” people working on it:

its voter drive is being run by Amy Busefink, an ACORN employee under indictment in Nevada for violating election laws. It might be understandable for an employer not to fire an employee until she is actually convicted of a crime, but this is ridiculous. Busefink should not be running a voter drive.

Busefink and another ACORN employee, Christopher Edwards, were charged with by the state of Nevada with “26 felony counts of voter fraud and 13 of providing unlawful extra compensation to those registering voters.” Edwards pleaded guilty and the trial of Busefink and ACORN is set to begin November 26.

Just because they were doing something shady in the past, doesn’t mean shady things are being done now does it?

Why would a campaign chair and a state-dem committee volunteer take out a Post-Office box to collect completed absentee ballots? Wouldn’t it be cleaner to distribute them however the dems wanted to, and then to have them mailed directly to the elections folks? One less set of fingerprints to suggest chicanery.

Why would a woman on the dem mailing list, who tossed every letter telling her about getting an absentee ballot from these folks, subsequently learn that an absentee ballot was issued in her name?

Pennsylvania eh quite a coincidence all this isn’t it and of course there is the background video on the stomping stuff that the left pretends doesn’t exist.

And in California some longtime lawmakers seem rather ignorant of the law:

Make sure to read the letter, which promises students “extra credit” and credit for fulfilling “class volunteer hours” — and recommends that government and social studies teachers share this video with their students:

the letter is here and perhaps in pre-internet days it would escape notice, but now there are groups watching for fraud.

But will all of it stop the Big Red Wave? ?Well in some states maybe, but I suspect there are certain districts that have fallen so far under the radar that the left may not realize they need stealing.

I’ve been telling anyone who would listen that people simply don’t understand how but this is going to be, I still get people dismissing me, saying I don’t have hard numbers just the anecdotal evidence and simple logic (such as the fact that a guy actually up 11 points doesn’t do a 180 on taxes).

Does this mean that Delaware is going red and that Calif and NY gov races are still in play. I’d bet against NY myself, but it means that it is going to take a whole lot more than a last-minute frat party to save this election for democrats.

Update: And more

Update 2: Red State’s suggestion: Americans start your cameras!

Older Entries
Newer Entries