Posts Tagged ‘conservatism fights back’

I’ll lead, go ahead…Pawlenty endorces Hoffman!

Posted: October 26, 2009 by datechguy in opinion/news
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Well Tim Pawlenty has bravely ventured forth where Sarah Palin has already beaten the path:

I’m surprised he didn’t do this last week before Palin endorsed Hoffman. He would have gotten major buzz for his boldness in becoming the first likely Republican presidential candidate to buck the party in NY-23; as it is, he ends up a bit of an afterthought to Sarahcuda. This is his way, I guess, of serving notice to her, Romney, and Huckabee that no one’s going to out-“true conservative” him, no matter how devoutly religious they may be or how phenomenally well their book might sell.

Alas poor Romney to answer Allahpundit I knew him as a Rino well. Well maybe not a full blooded RINO more like Obama with no fixed conservative political beliefs. If the polls today are correct and Hoffman wins Mitt is going to feel out in the cold.

Poor Dede, well there is always the Margaret Sanger award to fall back on:

There’s nothing like a person with an Italian Catholic name that worships at the altar or Abortion.

Vote Hoffman

How do you like them apples Hoffman in the lead!

Posted: October 26, 2009 by datechguy in opinion/news
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All morning Rush’s guest host (Mark Davis) has been telling us that Hoffman can’t win, it reached the point were it was just annoying to hear him.

Then this poll comes out:

A poll released today by the Club for Growth shows Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman surging into the lead in the special election in New York’s 23rd congressional district to replace John McHugh, the former congressman who recently became Secretary of the Army.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.

Gee what significant event could have happened in the last few days that could cause this. If you look at the news you wouldn’t know.

Robert Stacy encourages caution:

Of course — grain-of-salt time. The most important thing in these numbers, however, is the indication that the liberal Republican Scozzafava has slipped into third place.

Remember that NY23 has consistently voted 2-to-1 for the conservative Republican Rep. John McHugh. So if GOP voters in the district perceive Scozzafava as a likely loser, you can expect a decisive shift toward Hoffman by Republican voters whose main concern is not to give Nancy Pelosi another Democratic vote.

Michelle mocks Newt more:

The spoiler in this race is ACORN-friendly, Big Labor-embracing, tax-and-spender Dede Scozzafava. There is nothing — nothing — “mooooderate” about he

Dump Dede just repeats the release, as does conservatives 4 Palin, Ed Morrissey puts it under too good to check:

If the reaction of the GOP base to Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Hoffman didn’t get the attention of party leadership, then the results surely will. Many conservatives wondered whether splitting the vote now would be worth it in order to position Hoffman against a weak Democratic re-election effort in 2010. This survey shows that the vote split here may be benefiting Hoffman rather than damaging him.

How do we know these number have meat, particularly the unfavorables for Dede? The DCCC is ATTACKING HOFFMAN.

I wonder how many republicans who were willing to believe the old Kos poll will try to discredit this one? Over to you Newt and NRCC

Vote Hoffman.

More sauce for the conservative goose…

Posted: October 26, 2009 by datechguy in opinion/news
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…as the latest gallup poll (via memorandum) shows that those tea-party conservatives are onto something.

Conservatives continue to outnumber moderates and liberals in the American populace in 2009, confirming a finding that Gallup first noted in June. Forty percent of Americans describe their political views as conservative, 36% as moderate, and 20% as liberal. This marks a shift from 2005 through 2008, when moderates were tied with conservatives as the most prevalent group.

Even more important are the trends:

The 2009 data are based on 16 separate Gallup surveys conducted from January through September, encompassing more than 5,000 national adults per quarter.

So we aren’t dealing with just a single poll we are dealing with a bunch of em.

Lets put it another way. Assuming that conservatives won’t persuade liberals or vice versa conservatives only need to persuade just over one out of every 4 moderates to get to 51% they need to persuade slightly over 1 out of every 4 moderates.

And lets look at the other side of the coin, liberals need to persuade better than 3 out of every 4 moderates to vote with them in order to get 51%.

And even if moderates are turned off by a conservative candidate liberals STILL need to persuade 1 out of every two moderates to support them in order to get to 51%!

One of the great victories of liberalism and the MSM over time has been their ability to persuade Republicans that they desperately need moderates when in fact it is democrats who need them. Sheer math tells us that it is much more productive to solidify one’s base.

This is the Lesson of NY-23. If they don’t learn it then Republicans will continue to lose and deservedly so. As the Jammie Wearing fool says:

if only the Republican Party would wake up and start supporting conservative candidates instead of these weak-kneed RINOs. Much of the promising news from this polls shows a trend of independents moving to the right, which does not bode well for the Democrats as we enter the 2010 election cycle.

Meanwhile the NRCC continues to back Dede, when asked about it the quote of the day is:

Asked why so many prominent Republicans had thrown their support to Hoffman, the official responded, “We’re dealing with data, not hopes and dreams.”

You want data, there’s your data!

Vote Hoffman

Update: If the republicans aren’t careful they will be playing Captain John Earle to the tea party’s Lt. Kaminsky.

It has begun, who do you support

Posted: October 23, 2009 by datechguy in internet/free speech, opinion/news
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The Palin endorsement is now having ripples in the Republican party:

Rick Santorum stands with Hoffman and Palin:

It’s a different case in NY-23 … the Republican seems to be … falling apart… the Republican candidate has been in the process of disqualifying herself …. You’re not throwing your vote away on [Hoffman] …. This is a race that we need to win … the best change for a conservative … a Republican… to win this race… is Doug Hoffman….

Tim Pawlenty, he doesn’t know:

“I haven’t been following that,” Pawlenty said of the contest. “I haven’t studied the race at all. It’s not that I would or wouldn’t [endorse Scozzafava], I just don’t know anything about it.”

And that I don’t know stomps all over his announcement:

Pawlenty was in Washington to kick off his new committee, the Freedom First PAC. He spoke to a crowd of hundreds at a brewing company just off Capitol Hill. The largely younger crowd included Republican congressional staffers and the various party organizations.

Watch for more of it, nothing angers pols more than having to take side when they didn’t have to before.

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