Archive for the ‘elections’ Category

…to figure out that Sarah Palin might be running for president in 2012.

Yeah it’s not official until it’s announced. Neither is Mitt Romney’s (nobody is calling him coy).

I’ve read the post in question and I’ve read the e-mail and everybody is making a whole not of fuss about something that looks like a whole lot of nothing to me.

Yeah someone leaked an e-mail, yeah supporters of her rivals for the nomination might be trying to hurt Palin’s chances and yeah if I’m Todd Palin I’m pissed off at his friend who dissed his wife.

But this is no more of a bombshell than the idea that you might not want to sit next to my brother after he has a large Mexican meal.

The fact that this is the top story on Memeorandum does say this: If Sarah Palin announces for the republican nomination she is the defacto front-runner. Democrats ought to be damn scared but some republican establishment types are more scared.

Why? Because she means it!

Update: Sissy Willis opines on the matter

In the 3rd district there are actually 3 candidates for that congressional seat. In addition to Marty Lamb and Jim McGovern we have an independent candidate Pat Barron.

I’m not sure I buy the 3rd party argument, but if you do his site is here.

Yesterday memeorandum was all aflutter about Democrats coming back, about the large leads for democrats in polls. Captain Ed Morrissey (he will always be Captain Ed to me) however finds it is just another example of the time share media in action:

And how did the Democrats manage this rather remarkable comeback? Well, the WaPo/ABC pollster managed to find their usual sample gap. They went from a 31/25/39 D/R/I split in September in the general sample and 31/26/37 among registered voters, to 33/23/29 in the general sample and 34/25/37 among registered voters. That nine-point advantage to Democrats among RVs is almost twice what it was in the previous sample.

Of course it might be that democrats are using the new tactics like hiding they are democrats:

With voters in an anti-incumbent mood and a national headwind against their party, some freshman Democrats are touting themselves as unaffiliated outsiders — and it may help them win reelection.

Running against Washington isn’t easy when you’ve got an office on Capitol Hill. But Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper (D-Pa.) has effectively positioned herself as a challenger in her race against Republican Mike Kelly.

One of Dahlkemper’s first TV ads slams Congress and never mentions that she’s an incumbent.

It gets even better, Check out this “Deval Patrick” ad running in Massachusetts:

Not only is this ad missing the party of Deval Patrick and Tim Murray it’s missing Deval Patrick!

This is where the Democrats are in Massachusetts. Their candidate for governor is so unpopular that the Lt. Gov is featured in ads instead of him. If Tim Cahill wasn’t running as an independent Patrick would have no prayer against Charlie Baker.

Memeorandum thread here

yet MSNBC is falling into the trap playing the ad again and again. They don’t get it at all.

Stacy McCain is exactly right about this

Forget the words. Just turn off the sound and look at it. The moment she flashes that first smile, the average person likes her. They can’t help it. It’s an autonomic response.

Whether “I like her” translates into “I want her to be Senator,” I can’t say. But we’ve recently elected a president whose chief politic assets are a resonant baritone voice and a vague resemblance to the Allstate man, so I think it unwise to underestimate the superficiality of voters in the Age of Image.

Morning Joe today has been playing the ad

The Morning Joe crowd is laughing their heads off. I’m sorry they have no clue. If I’m O’Donnell I’m playing the clip of them laughing at her at every rally there is. That clip of the Morning Joe team laughing at her is a fundraiser waiting to happen.

Memo to the left and MSNBC if your argument is “this person is a lunatic” the best plan is not to play an ad the screams “normal”.

memeorandum thread here