Posts Tagged ‘election 2010’

Just before I went to Blogcon I said this about Bill Hudak:

Hudak is an excellent speaker who did something that instantly made me like him. He started to run MONTHS before Scott Brown was elected and way before anyone thought the democrats were in trouble.

One of the advantages of standing up and fighting rather than tamely giving up is you get the chance to take advantage of stuff like this:

The wife of US Representative John F. Tierney is poised to plead guilty tomorrow to federal tax charges for managing a bank account that her brother allegedly used to deposit millions of dollars in illegal gambling profits he raked in from an offshore sports betting operation in Antigua.

Patrice Tierney, 59, who is married to the Salem Democrat, is charged with four counts of aiding and abetting the filing of false tax returns by her brother, Robert Eremian, of St. John’s, Antigua.

Bill Hudak’s internal polls already showed Tierney below 50% (bad news for an incumbent, incredible for a dem in Massachusetts) He’s been running hard and the media has been hitting him for a while but even places like the Globe are now see trouble:

You can crow all you want about some kooky yard sign of the president in a turban or whatever but this is a bit more serious to the tune of, oh, seven million dollars. Hudak may be painted as a wing nut – and rightfully so – but he doesn’t have any immediate ties to serious law breaking like this. Keep it mind that Tierney voted against the internet gambling ban while all of this was going on.

For the Globe that’s practically an endorsement

My film of Hudak is here

If there was ever a time to kick in for him on ma-6 it’s now.

I still say at least 3 seats in this state will turn this election. The NYT thinks that’s impossible so I feel really good about it.

In the 3rd district there are actually 3 candidates for that congressional seat. In addition to Marty Lamb and Jim McGovern we have an independent candidate Pat Barron.

I’m not sure I buy the 3rd party argument, but if you do his site is here.

Yesterday memeorandum was all aflutter about Democrats coming back, about the large leads for democrats in polls. Captain Ed Morrissey (he will always be Captain Ed to me) however finds it is just another example of the time share media in action:

And how did the Democrats manage this rather remarkable comeback? Well, the WaPo/ABC pollster managed to find their usual sample gap. They went from a 31/25/39 D/R/I split in September in the general sample and 31/26/37 among registered voters, to 33/23/29 in the general sample and 34/25/37 among registered voters. That nine-point advantage to Democrats among RVs is almost twice what it was in the previous sample.

Of course it might be that democrats are using the new tactics like hiding they are democrats:

With voters in an anti-incumbent mood and a national headwind against their party, some freshman Democrats are touting themselves as unaffiliated outsiders — and it may help them win reelection.

Running against Washington isn’t easy when you’ve got an office on Capitol Hill. But Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper (D-Pa.) has effectively positioned herself as a challenger in her race against Republican Mike Kelly.

One of Dahlkemper’s first TV ads slams Congress and never mentions that she’s an incumbent.

It gets even better, Check out this “Deval Patrick” ad running in Massachusetts:

Not only is this ad missing the party of Deval Patrick and Tim Murray it’s missing Deval Patrick!

This is where the Democrats are in Massachusetts. Their candidate for governor is so unpopular that the Lt. Gov is featured in ads instead of him. If Tim Cahill wasn’t running as an independent Patrick would have no prayer against Charlie Baker.

Memeorandum thread here

yet MSNBC is falling into the trap playing the ad again and again. They don’t get it at all.

Stacy McCain is exactly right about this

Forget the words. Just turn off the sound and look at it. The moment she flashes that first smile, the average person likes her. They can’t help it. It’s an autonomic response.

Whether “I like her” translates into “I want her to be Senator,” I can’t say. But we’ve recently elected a president whose chief politic assets are a resonant baritone voice and a vague resemblance to the Allstate man, so I think it unwise to underestimate the superficiality of voters in the Age of Image.

Morning Joe today has been playing the ad

The Morning Joe crowd is laughing their heads off. I’m sorry they have no clue. If I’m O’Donnell I’m playing the clip of them laughing at her at every rally there is. That clip of the Morning Joe team laughing at her is a fundraiser waiting to happen.

Memo to the left and MSNBC if your argument is “this person is a lunatic” the best plan is not to play an ad the screams “normal”.

memeorandum thread here