Posts Tagged ‘election 2012’

Can you help Randy Altschuler in NY-1?

Posted: November 10, 2010 by datechguy in congress, opinion/news, politics, special events
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In a conference call with the ACU I was able to talk to Randy Altschuler the republican in NY-1 who currently leads the count in that district by about 600 votes.

The machines in Suffolk county have been impounded and they are being audited right now, so far no problems have been found in machines. In addition 11k absentee ballots are still to be counted and there is a slight advantage in republican ballots to be tallied.

The other side is as you can guess is suing to force a full hand recount of all ballots. As you might realize one of the strategies for stealing an election is to keep recounting until you can disqualify enough ballots of your opponent or allow enough ballots of your own to be counted till you get a lead and then stop at once.

As you can guess this is a cash intensive problem to pay for lawyers and watchers to make sure everything remains on the up and up. Can you help?

You can contribute online at Randy’s site here or if you wish you can send checks to:

Randy Altschuler Recount Fund
PO box 657
Stony brook NY 11790

Your help can make all the difference between a seat going to our sides or theirs.

Will Scott Brown become the Fishbait Miller of the Senate?

Posted: November 8, 2010 by datechguy in politics
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When heading toward re-election pols tend to take the feelings of the voters back home a lot more seriously.

In Maine for example Republicans swept statewide elections pretty solidly. It should have an interesting effect on Maine two liberal republicans and the day of their next race comes closer.

In Massachusetts the clean sweep of offices for democrats will likely not be lost on Scott Brown when election day 2012 comes around. The same turnout machine that pushed Patrick et/al will still exist, and may even be aided by national money.

But the dynamic in the Senate has changed dramatically as George Will puts it:

When Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell had 40 or 41 senators in his caucus, he usually had 40 or 41 votes when he felt he urgently needed them. Beginning in January, with at least 46 senators, he will always have 41 votes when he really wants them.

There are going to be times when Scott Brown is going to want to demonstrate his “independence” from the GOP caucus. With 6 votes to give McConnell will be able to do without Brown, or Collins or Snowe and still stop anything he needs to.

The question is this. Will he gain more sympathy at home opposing the GOP or not. Or to put it another way. We know the machine will be against him no matter what he does, so will he make more points with the electorate with the electorate going left or going right?

Of course he could just do the right thing and do what he thinks is right…

In 2010 the Republicans have been given two gifts

Posted: November 7, 2010 by datechguy in elections, opinion/news, politics
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The first was one they did not seek; The re-election of Harry Reid and the second is one they did not expect Nancy Pelosi poised to become the Democratic minority leader.

One of the many problems that the Obama administration had this cycle was they tried to make the case that the election of Republicans in congress was the return to Bush Bush Bush. This proved ineffective because president Bush has become more rather than less loved over the past two years but more importantly there is exactly a 0% chance that George Bush will ever be president again.

However as 2012 comes by, no matter how well or poorly they do with Nancy Pelosi as Minority Leader in the house and Harry Reid newly re-elected there is absolutely a 100% chance that a republican defeat will mean going back to the Pelosi/Reid agenda.

You can’t underestimate how important this is. Democrats were running away from Nancy Pelosi like there was no tomorrow in this last election. It will be interesting to see what they say in 2012 when they are running for seats again with the promise of putting Nancy Pelosi and company back in charge.

Maybe it’s just me but it doesn’t take the brightest blub in the house…

Posted: October 5, 2010 by datechguy in elections, politics
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…to figure out that Sarah Palin might be running for president in 2012.

Yeah it’s not official until it’s announced. Neither is Mitt Romney’s (nobody is calling him coy).

I’ve read the post in question and I’ve read the e-mail and everybody is making a whole not of fuss about something that looks like a whole lot of nothing to me.

Yeah someone leaked an e-mail, yeah supporters of her rivals for the nomination might be trying to hurt Palin’s chances and yeah if I’m Todd Palin I’m pissed off at his friend who dissed his wife.

But this is no more of a bombshell than the idea that you might not want to sit next to my brother after he has a large Mexican meal.

The fact that this is the top story on Memeorandum does say this: If Sarah Palin announces for the republican nomination she is the defacto front-runner. Democrats ought to be damn scared but some republican establishment types are more scared.

Why? Because she means it!

Update: Sissy Willis opines on the matter

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