Two weeks ago I proposed the following IF / THEN Else Statement:
Minister James Hacker: Will you answer a direct question?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: I strongly advise you not to ask a direct question.
Minister James Hacker: Why?
Sir Humphrey Appleby: It might provoke a direct answer.
Minister James Hacker: Never has yet.
Yes Minister: The Moral Dimension 1982
IF Newsom = “candidate for president” THEN AB 957= “veto” ELSE AB 957 = “Law”
By this I presumed that AB 957 was a sure thing because Newsom had just said the following:
“We need to move past this notion that he’s not going to run,” Newsom told NBC “Meet the Press” host Chuck Todd in an interview clip released Friday. “President Biden is going to run and I’m looking forward to him getting reelected.”
One must remember that pols are masters of parsing words. What does he actually say:
- Joe Biden is going to Run.
- I’m looking forward to getting him re-elected.
What doesn’t he say is what happens if for some reason Joe Biden doesn’t run or has to pull out.
Let me remind you of what we wrote a week ago:
Democrats have now decided that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are no longer useful.
In fact they have actually reached the point where they believe that even with the FBI going after conservatives and the online services censoring the right at full swing and their friends in the courts sentencing those who spoke aloud about the steal to decades in prison that the country has reached the point where more people hate Joe Biden than Donald Trump.
This fear is reinforced by this map:
And the lastest pol number are even worse,
Head-to-head in a hypothetical November 2024 matchup, Trump has 51% support while Biden has 42% — numerically up 3 points for Trump and down 2 points for Biden from an ABC/Post poll in February, shifts that are not statistically significant.
Or as Drudge put it:
If Drudge is sounding the alarm for the left that means there is a real opening for another Democrat candidate for president, so we return to our original IF THEN ELSE statement:
IF Newsom = “candidate for president” THEN AB 957= “veto” ELSE AB 957 = “Law”
Well guess what happened this week:
and to our original article:
The one thing that might have inhibited that bill from becoming law is that signing such a bill might inhibit a potential presidential campaign by Gavin Newson as it would be such a killer in swing states that you couldn’t steal enough votes to save him.
There is of course always a chance that Joe Biden who has managed to survive so many disasters in his career might still survive this one, but if he doesn’t Gavin Newson has become that much more viable.
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