Posts Tagged ‘ma-1’

I’ve been having an ongoing debate in twitter with a fellow from my district named LoudLiberal about republicans chances in Massachusetts in general and Bill Gunn’s chances in ma-1 in particular.

He’s a nice guy but I think he would not enjoy Stacy McCain’s post about the Frank/Bielat debate on WRKO:

It was blindingly obvious that the 4th District’s Democratic incumbent is not accustomed to defending himself or his record. Barney repeatedly filibustered, responding to simple questions with meandering stream-of-thought rambles that might have continued ad infinitum if no one had stopped him.

Then again Stacy is a known conservative republican it’s not like the Glove is reporting that democrats are in trouble…oh wait:

Solomon, one of many manifestations of an energized GOP electorate this year, illustrates the political zeal Massachusetts Democrats are up against as they try to hold back a Republican Party determined to make major gains on Election Day. What Democrats lack in enthusiasm, they’re trying to make up for in organization.

It gets worse:

Through vast suburban swaths, independents turned out in much larger numbers to vote Republican, while Democratic turnout in the big cities fell way below the statewide average.

In Haverhill, Leominster, Marlborough, Melrose, Methuen, and Waltham — six nominally Democratic cities that can swing Republican in competitive elections and tilted to Brown in the January special election — independents took more Republican ballots in September than Democratic, often by large margins.

If things are going so bad that the Globe feels the need to report it then Democrats be afraid, be very afraid.

And Republicans, take Roxeanne’s advice and keep working hard.

Update: It gets worse, even the NYT won’t back up the dems on the chamber of commerce attacks.

Glenn links to Stacy’s latest about that Scott Brown Feeling

That’s the big story here. Barney Frank’s MA-4 seat isn’t on Charlie Cook’s radar, either, but Sean Bielat clearly has Barney on the defensive here. The only Massachusetts seats ranked by Cook are the open MA-10 seat (“leans Democrat,” with a no-name Democrat against Republican Jeff Perry) and MA-5 (“likely Democrat” with Republican Jon Golnik challenging Niki Tsongas).

If Bielat can beat Barney — and Barney seems to be sweating it now — then those Perry and Golnik will also be riding that Big Red Wave, here in Massachusetts where “Downtown Scotty Brown” already proved the Democrats can be beat. Just last night, thanks to my friend Pete Da Tech Guy, I interviewed three candidates — Bill Gunn in MA-1, Tom Wesley in MA-2, Marty Lamb in MA-3 — all of whom are running hard in districts that Scott Brown won in January.

If that Big Red Wave hits on Nov. 2, there are no “safe” Democrats.

I had a talk with hard-working canvasser this month doors were in the process of slamming until the word “Republican” was spoken. At that point doors opened and lit taken. This has been the regular experience reported to me. Combine this with the Jim McKenna results and this state is a wagon of Nitro about to blow up on Democrats.

Listen the only absolutely safe seat in Ma for democrats is ma-8 and that’s only safe because there is no opposition. I’m cautiously predicting 3 seats but if I woke up to 7 I would not be shocked. (Nine now THAT would shock me)!

Update: Stacy is on the Bielat/Beat Barney beat and has this story in the Spectator that says in part:

“They’ve got no operation over there,” Phillips said of the Frank campaign. As Bielat told reporters at a Sept. 26 rally, “They have one campaign office. It’s always empty. We have three. They’re always full.”

Bielat’s Newton office wasn’t full Sunday morning, but it was open and in full swing, with at least three volunteers calling voters in a telephone canvassing operation that has already reached some 30,000 likely voters and, at a pace of more than 2,000 new contacts daily, could approach the 50,000 mark within a week.

This is going to be a huge night in Massachusetts. It will be the place to be on election day.

I talked to Bill before we went on the air

Remember Olver has a huge financial advantage and you can narrow that by donating here.

…and I have a wedding today.

I managed to talk to him last night after he landed and managed to get a few minutes on the phone with Marty Lamb, Tom Wesley and Bill Gunn before they went on the air last night. You will likely read about that in the next day or two at his blog.

Today he is noticing the negative ads Deval Patrick outside groups have been hitting Baker with relentlessly:

Charles Baker is the Republican candidate challenging Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick. Lately, Baker has been targeted by attack ads from a group called “Bay State Future,” headed by Barbara Weniger. But this group is actually a front for Democrats and labor unions

Democrats in this state are VERY scared. You have seen very little polling outside of ma-10, the governor’s race and ma-4 (Barney Frank vs Sean Beilat). If the true extent of what is going on here in Massachusetts gets out the democratic morale and fundraiser nationally could collapse.

Some people have not believed what I’ve been saying about Massachusetts, perhaps once Stacy has a few days in the state he can corroborate what I’ve been reporting.