Posts Tagged ‘pa-12’

and politico called it a bellwether race.

Strangely enough all the time that Tim Burns was leading it didn’t make the cut, but now that the latest poll shows Critz leading it becomes critical.

I could be totally wrong about this, Politico on Morning Joe mentioned that it could go either way but I’m shocked it didn’t warrant interest last month.

Update: Now David Gregory is calling Pa-12 a “toss up race”. The plan apparently is to set the race now that the polls favor the dems as a possible or probable loss, so if they win, it becomes a HUGE win for democrats and if they lose, well it was a tight race in a conservative district. This is spin.

This morning it is really interesting to see the level of coincidence yesterday.

First of all because I had failed to raise the money to get to Pa-12 I was in Fitchburg instead of being on the road.

Because of this I went to morning Mass for Ascension Thursday.

Because of this I ran into my 80 something godfather.

Because of this I was able to invite him to breakfast with my mother and myself.

He ended up going to the wrong diner, because of this I had to go get him.

Because of this I saw the sign at J & R glass concerning the Governor’s visit.

Because of this after breakfast I headed down there to report on it.

Because of this I heard about the cancellation and the terror arrests

and because of that I have the photos and stories that you read yesterday.

The moral of the story? When you attend Mass on a holy day of obligation, good things happen!

Still only $50 in the kitty. I’ve had the car checked and struts replaced. ($225) an I’m told I need two new tires before I even think about such a trip.

I won’t be asking the readers for this since they are things I would need no matter what, but it very much looks like anything that goes on in Pa-12 will happen without me. If you want to change that click here.

However that is less important that what IS going on in PA-12 and that seems to be trending poorly:

Mark Critz, a former aide to the late John Murtha and the Democratic nominee to replace him, has pulled out to a 6-point lead in the special election for Pennsylvania’s 12th district, according to a new Susquehanna poll. Critz leads Republican Tim Burns 44%-38% with less than a week to go.

This is a huge swing from polls last month showing Burns in the lead and over 40%. Of course there is certainly time to turn this around but the interesting this is the fact that this takes place after Critz has taken pains to distance himself from both the party and the healthcare vote. That fact in itself speaks volumes to the populartiy of the democratic congress and the power of the tea party message.

Critz is taking pains to distance himself from its agenda as the vote draws nearer. Most conspicuously, the former Murtha aide launched a television ad this weekend in which — with his voice apparently hoarse from the campaign trail — he aims to set the record straight and declares his opposition to the health care law passed and signed last month. It was a response to an ad from the National Republican Campaign Committee which said Critz “will put the liberal agenda before Pennsylvania.”

“I’m pro life and pro gun. That’s not a liberal,” Critz says in his own spot.

Critz’s camp also says he opposes a proposed cap-and-trade law, something Murtha voted for when the House first acted on it last year.

Burns should be pressing on the repeal issue, Critz is talking a good game but will he vote for repeal and if he says so how long will it take him to break that promise? It only took Bill Owens of NY-23 one day to break four of his.

PA-12 voters should consider carefully before they let themselves be hoodwinked on this, and Burns should be playing that flip flop card strongly.

as Robert Stacy Reports:

On Saturday, May 15th, buses will depart from the Capitol Hill Club at 8:00 am for a day trip to Pennsylvania. Transportation and meals will be provided. We will spend the afternoon in the district knocking on doors reminding voters to come out and vote for Tim Burns in this pivotal PA-12 special election.

DaCar was just dropped off at the garage to be checked. I’m still $390 away from affording to go and as a conservative if I don’t have the funds I just can’t justify the trip. Maybe If I do raise the funds I’ll go on Friday to check out the Saturday event. If you are interested in getting me there DaTipJar is right here.

If you are not all that interested in Pa-12 there is still my proposed GA-4 trip, ($880 shy there).

In the end you decide if the Fedora Travels or not. If neither trip is to your liking then we can talk more during during June’s Andrew Sullivan days.