Posts Tagged ‘polls’

Tuesday at the debate I was talking Big Red Wave with an aide to a republican candidate for statewide office, although he was feeling highly confident on his local race when I said to him that the wave would be even bigger.

I started mentioning the anecdotal evidence I’ve seen in district after district he was unimpressed.

When I brought up Christine O’Donnell and Chris Coon’s sudden Volte Face he immediately dismissed me as ignorant and my opinion unworthy.

Well if all he sees are polls like this that’s one thing, but then there is stuff like this:

Yesterday, a poll went around showing Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.

But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?

This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.

Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.

and this:

We have seen reliable polling that shows O’Donnell is within single digits, and Coons can’t break 50%. What is more, these polls rely on a turn-out model that is relatively conservative and, contrary to what pundits think, a much higher than normal turn-out could mean the polls are off by as much as 5-6 or more points. In the primary, most polls showed O’Donnell down by a few or tied, however she won by 6 points, a figure higher than most of the pre-vote polls and outside of their margin of error.

Why is this happening, and why might the pundits, once again, have egg on their face on election day?

Voters in Delaware are learning from reliable internet sources, despite a near blackout by the elite political press, more and more about Coons and his record.

One is right and one is wrong, but I can’t forget the Globe polls that showed Martha Coakley up 15 points:

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points – 53 percent to 36 percent – when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

and of course my favorite of all newspaper quotes:

The Mainstream media knows all

Somebody is right here and somebody is wrong here, by this time next week we will find out.

Update: Of course liberals always use these tactics when up 15 pts don’t they?

Camillus NY 10:30 A.M. Oct 18, 2010 (via Ithaca NY 1:32 p.m. at the house of Legal Insurrection)

Stacy & I hit the Ann Marie Buerkle Press conference in front of a small mall in Camillus NY today

Stacy Takes Notes

The Press was there to hear what she had to say:

the press sets up for the conference

Buerkle bluntly stated that congressman Maffei was misrepresenting the fact.

Buerkle addresses the press

The idea is he is desperate to change the subject from his own voting record. This would not be a surprise as democrats in trouble have been running from their votes and the voters all over the country this year.

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As for the “interesting” poll that shows her down, she pointed out bluntly that Maffei has not released polls all year, considering that she has been neck and neck for a while the idea that he suddenly has a 12 point lead is…”interesting“. Then again this is the same polling service that padded Rick Lazlio’s by 19 points and was 38 points off on Paladino in the primary.

I know its near Halloween, but if Maffei & the Mainstream Media are going to give out Whoppers…

Much better Whoppers than the MSM or Maffei's campaign are delivering this Halloween


…I suggest these instead.

I will have video uploaded as soon as I’m able, meanwhile next stop Pa-10!

Update: Stacy’s video uploaded faster than mine, here is his take at the blog and his spectator piece on it.

At the press conference, Buerkle introduced one of her tenants – a hairstyling salon owner named Andre – and said his situation exemplifies the economic problems of the 25th District that she hopes to address in Congress. “Andre represents one of those hard-working Americans who takes a risk. He spends days in his salon working hard to be successful. And Andre and all the other small businesses in upstate New York . . . need Washington to get out of the way.”

Meanwhile I’ve managed to get a quick video of people reacting before the press conference up:

The grass roots are very green here and will likely grow to a bumper crop come Nov 2nd.

Update 2: Here is Ann Marie Buerkle at the press conference:

Question: How bad are things actually for the democratic party and liberals?

When you leave the WW 2 memorial trashed after your rally, that’s bad

When you need Oprah to pay for people to go to your event, that’s worse.

But when you find yourself taking polls about a race that doesn’t exist, against an opponent that isn’t running to make an incumbent democratic senator look strong. That’s just idiotic:

The answer is not so well. Nelson leads Limbaugh 50-36 in that hypothetical match up. Nelson would have his party base pretty well locked up, independents would go for him overwhelmingly by a 58-30 margin, and even 21% of Republicans say they’d prefer Nelson to Limbaugh.

Earth to PPP Nelson isn’t running against Limbaugh and never will be. You make yourselves look like fools when this is what you are writing about 17 days before an election.

Yesterday we had two points of discussion and debate, lets revisit them on day 2

#1 Poll? What Poll?

They talked a bit about Christine O’Donnell yesterday and touched on Saturday Night Live’s skit on her. Fair enough NBC show, MSNBC cross promotion. However after going on yesterday about how Sarah Palin numbers were so bad and talking about how the GOP threw away a senate seat last week the fact that Christine O’Donnell has picked up Six points in the polls in Six days, trailing by less than double digits (this is without a Mike Castle Write-in and with no favorable press coverage).

Consider, Up by 8 Barney Frank felt the need to bring in Bill Clinton! Does that mean that Chris Coons, much less well-known than Frank will need to book the ex president’s in Delaware? I think not. The contrast between a beautiful woman who in her early 20’s was talking abstinence in 1996 and a president who at the same time was being serviced by a young girl the same age that O’Donnell was at the time would not be the image the Democratic party needs.

#2 Nobody reads that Washington Post rag

We are in Day two. Mika and company are in their second day of doing Colbert stuff. Apparently Mika’s Paris Hilton radar is getting weaker and Apparently the Front Page of the Washington Post doesn’t carry the clout with Morning Joe that it once did.

We are now in the 7 a.m. hour of the second day this week. (7:16 a.m.) Morning Joe has done Colbert clips yet the DOJ scandal is still totally unreported on the show. It is a startling omission. One might have made the excuse that there was the big cross over and the president etc yesterday but still have not found time for even a mention of the DOJ scandal or the testimony thereof.

It is very nice of them to try to provide material for the WCRN show that we hope to have up before the election but guys, you can report on it. I’m sure the media will ignore something else before that day.

Update: Just showed another O’Donnell joke hit, everyone is laughing but still not a word of the 6 points in 6 days that have been picked up. I can’t wait to see their faces Nov 3rd.