Archive for July, 2025

Trust but Verify

Ronald Reagan

As you know I’ve had some fun with AI helping it expand my Hogan’s Heroes/Rat Patrol crossover and playing 2000 year old man with Christianity and Bacon but a lot of people are using AI for serious stuff.

Today I saw the following tweet in X concerning AI and the COVID vaccines: (Here is the text in case the tweet gets zonked:

Brubes Brubes793 Jul 27

@grok says there’s nothing to see here. The vax was wonderful. Any bad outcomes were outweighed by the positives… Like getting C19 anyway and spreading it anyway. Well worth the risks. Consensus science says so. Replying to @Brubes793 @USMortality and @grok

I was about to reply when it hit me that said reply is a basic fact that is one of the most important things I’m likely ever going to tweet so it belongs in the blog first.

Presenting DaTechGuy’s 1st Law on Using AI (Must Credit DaTechGuy)

“Unless you’re doing something that’s pure whimsy, When you ask any AI any question always tell it to show its work & links to the sources supporting their answers to your questions”

Until you know what the sources for this information you have no idea WHY an AI is saying what it says. For example if you asked an AI if Joe Biden was healthy enough to be president 15 month ago odds are it would have told you of course and the GOP stuff is just deep flakes. If you asked it about the Russian Hoax six months ago it would have supported it because the MSM pushed that narrative.

Once the cost of creating propaganda became negligible (internet age) the source for any information had to be questioned.

So follow this law when you use AI for anything more serious than asking which person from the Bible are you: (Grok says I’m Baruch the scribe of Jeremiah).

While I remain the first member of new media to question Donald Trump in a press conference setting odds are If I get remembered for anything this is likely it.

Update: Here is the tweet sent after the blog post:

It hit me a day or two ago that if the ex CEO of Astronomer and his wife dispensed with the traditional wedding vows and wrote their own he might end up saving a lot of money despite his actions at the Coldplay concert,

If both agreed they didn’t want the traditional vows and neither put “forsaking all others till death do us part” or a variant of it in their vows she’s not going to have a case.

After all if both parties remove a clause from a contract then you can’t penalize folks for not obeying this clause.

If I’m his lawyer I pounce on this.

who ended up


Longtime readers of this blog know that I like to quote the book “inferno” and there is a particular quote I use a lot:

“First we must cross the river,” Benito was saying.  “Do you believe me now when I tell you that you must not attempt to swim it, or even get wet from it, or must you try that too?”

“What happens if I just dive in?”

“Then you will be as you were in the bottle.  Aware and unable to move.  but it will be very cold, and very uncomfortable, and you will be there for all eternity knowing that you put yourself there.”

Larry Niven & Jerry Pournelle Inferno 1976

I’m wondering if the Biden/Obama people are regretting their attacks on Tulsi or claiming she was a Russian agent or putting her on a watch list for flights.

I’m thinking they might now be realizing this could have been a mistake.


If you had to pick the single most significant thing that Donald Trump has said in the last several months I think the clip where Donald Trump talks about deciding not to go after Hillary after being elected in 2016 and then deciding that after all that was done to him afterward changed his mind.

I don’t think the left realizes just how strong a position they would be in if they just at worst treated Trump as a normal president or at best made deals with him during his first term.

I think if you wanted to know why they tried to kill him this week is it.


Yesterday CNN cut away from Gabbard when she started detailing the evidence that she referred to prosecutors over Obama.

the MSM is desperate not to cover this story and will do all they can to protect those who choose to remain in the bubble.

But as long as the wheels of justice keep turning there is no reason to think this will go on through the justice system for at least the next couple of years and if Vance wins in 2028 it’s not going to be killed.

Maybe CNN will decide to cover the story when people are put in jail.


Finally all of this continues to be a distraction from Trump’s repeated wins in the Supreme Court and on the economy and on the border etc etc etc.

He concluded three more trade deals, no illegals have been released in two months and the stock market is through the roof.

And to counter they have Colbert, Epstein and now trying to pretend that Trump has dementia?

If they’re in this shape today where will they be in six months, because trump will be president for another 3 1/2 years.

It will be fun.

Who Framed Roger Rabbit? 1988

Chris Cillizza noted recently that Donald Trump has been racking up an impressive amount of wins:

His list starting with the Iran strikes and ending with the remission bill could be added onto very easily. In fact even those who hate him would concede that no president has ever managed to get so much done at the start of a term (1st or 2nd).

Meanwhile the Democrats are at 19% (Think about it a sec a Dem candidate who loses a race 61-39 can boast that they out performed their party by 20 POINTS!) and according to CNN’s own polling the Epstein stuff hasn’t hurt Trump with the GOP, except on twitter/X which is as reflective of reality as a porn star’s breasts).

So all that being said why are the left pushing the not even strong enough to be a nothing burger supposedly 22 year old birthday letter (which would not rise to the level of a nothing burger even if it was real) in particular and Epstein in general these days? Because the alternative is talking about either their failures (19% rating, communist running in NYC) or Trump’s repeated wins.

They need a different topic and although there are risks to this (particularly to folks like the Clintons who might end up thrown out of the bus) anything is better than allowing reality to pierce the bubble that their niche is clinging to.

Pam Bondi’s poor choice of words is the only kink we’ve seen in Trump in months, and Trump is slightly frustrated at the lack of attention to all that winning, yet he has not been all that fast in providing transparency here which frankly I agree should be forthcoming.

The question is why and since I remember May of 2016 and know it’s not because he’s actually implicated in anything I submit and suggest the following answer:

He’s playing Br’re Rabbit in the Briar Patch on the left.

You must remember that Trump is a native New Yorker, he grew up in the city, knew everybody, had access to everybody and spent most of his adult life having to do business in blue cities and corrupt cities all over the world. To get what he wanted he had to play ball and because he had $ was invited to every party and every gathering, he was given award and access. He know who and what all these leftists are and how they operate and remember, at every gathering he was at (and he was welcome at all of them till about 2015) he was sober.

So he knows how deeply up to their necks these guys were corrupt and I suspect during his first term he figured they would be willing to make deals to advance his agenda. What he didn’t realize and suspect was that they truly wanted to destroy him, first politically and finally by 2024 physically.

I think he’s going to let the Epstein stuff play out as far as he can all the time saying to people like Elizabeth Warren:

Oh please Please Br’re Pocahontas don’t throw me into the Epstein patch!”

And then when the left is fully committed to both the release of the information and harsh punishment for all those involved (including all those who have given them millions upon millions over the years) and then BOOM!

When that time comes and the decides to give them exactly what they want, a lot of very rich and very bad leftist and their funders will find themselves in trouble meanwhile Donald Trump will be hopping away singing:

“Born and bred in a Briar Patch!”

And will hop away while the left convicts themselves.

Well the wild cards rounds are done so now it’s time for the divisional rounds

AL

Kansas City Royals (95-67) 3rd Seed at Milwaukee Brewers (92-70) Beta Division title

Season series Milwaukee 6-4

Kansas City Royals

The Royals have one big bat in the person of veteran Frank Robinson who found the fountain of youth this season with 25 HR leading the team. Former MVP Bobby Murcer has not come back to the levels he had in NY but he put up reasonable numbers for the team.

But the strength of the team is their ace Bert Blyleven who dominated the majors winning the AL Cy Young in a walk winning 25 (most in majors) with the 2nd best ERA in the majors 2.41. Bob Reynolds managed 10 wins in relief. Doug Bird picked up 6 saves in six chances and Ramon Hernandez added 18 more but also blew seven. The rest of the rotation Nelson Briles, Bill Greif and Mike Cuellar were adequate with mid range ERA’s (3.69- 4.15)

The individual numbers aren’t earth shattering but they were good enough to be 3rd in the AL in batting and 2nd in the league in doubles. It all added up to 95 wins and kept KC in the fight for the division until the very end of the season.

Secret Weapon: Contact. Only the Yankees and the Cardinals stuck out less that the Royals this season.

Milwaukee Brewers 92-70 1st AL Beta

Milwaukee lives and Dies with Pete Rose who led the league in batting hitting .339 and hits 224 hits including 10 triples and 34 doubles. Rose scored 102 runs and drove in 100 despite only hitting 2 HR all season. This was made possible in part thanks to two things. Ron Fairly (146 walks) and Denis Menke (119 walks) batting ahead of him and Billy Williams last year’s triple crown winner in the NL who not only did not make Atlanta’s cut but somehow dropped to 17th in the draft allowing Milwaukee to pick him up to bat behind Rose, where he hit .296 with 22 HR and 122 runs driven in (2nd in AL). Rookie Catcher Darryl Porter finally got some full time play and kept the balls going out adding power to a team that lacked it. The final pieces came in a trade with Boston which lost them Bernie Carbo’s great bat, OBP and Arm, but gained the Bud Harrelson’s defense and Willie Davis’ range and Bat to round them out.

On the Mound the Rotation of Ken Holtzman 18-14 3.12 , Don Wilson 20-8 3.33 and Al Downing 14-11 2.81 (plus 3 saves in 4 chances) is one of the best in the majors. Add to that George Stone 11-7 3.68 as the #4 man who might be a #2 or 3 on any other team and you have one of the most devastating rotations in the game, particularly 2-4. Ellis Sosa managed 15 saves but led the league with 8 blown and veteran Bob Miller did much better saving 8 and blowing only two.

Secret Weapon OF Steve Byre .286 9 HR & 58 RBI might not seem like much but hit .300 with a .386 OBP vs LHP

Peter’s pick. (Full disclosure I manage Milwaukee) In a five game series Bert Blyleven might get 2 starts which is bad news for Milwaukee but Milwaukee has the advantage both in pitching for games 2-4 and in Batting overall. The wild card that might make the difference is that the Brewers Rotation leans heavily left and KC as a team was 34-18 vs LHP (.654) It’s going to be a tight series thanks to that stat but I just don’t think Kansas City has enough bats to overcome a Milwaukee team that constantly wears down pitching staffs. But of course if it goes to a game 5 and Blyleven starts with the game on the line KC can feel pretty good about themselves.

Brewers in 4

Orioles 101-61 vs Twins 80-82 Season Series even 6-6

Baltimore lived by the long ball. Their 222 HR were not only the most in the AL by 55 they were a full 35 HR over Cincinnati which has one of the most devastating lineups in the game. They lead the majors in slugging and OBS with four players hitting over 30 HR (Amos Otis 36, Doug Rader 34, Davey Johnson 34 and Gene Tenace 32. Otis excelled in almost every category coming in 2nd in the MVP vote by only a point. In a league where only five qualifying batters hit .300 or better Baltimore had two (Otis .308 and Al Bumbry .302) along with Rich Coggins who with 407 plate appearances didn’t qualify but hit .322. That meant plenty of men on base as the balls cleared the fences. Tenace, Coggins, Otis, Bumbry and John Milner all had OBP from .360 (Tenace) to .387 (Otis) Three men scored over 100 runs (Otis, Johnson and Bumbry) and Tenace was only 3 runs short of being the 4th.

If all that power wasn’t enough Baltimore’s 3.72 ERA was very respectable and their top four starters Dave Roberts 18-11 3.22, Steve Renko 18-8 3.40, Andy Messerschmidt 21-11 3.61 and Rookie Jim Slaton 15-8 3.62 (a steal from Milwaukee last season) all with WHIP’s running from 1.16-1.35 means very few teams will get a chance to match them run for run. Closer Bob Locker managed 23 saves with only five blown and a 1.10 WHIP meaning that if they get to the 8th with a lead it’s likely not going anywhere.

Secret Weapon. In a league with few steals Al Bumbry 11 SB 1 CS and Don Baylor 8 SB 1 CS are a threat to run if given a chance

Minnesota Twins 80-82 2nd Wild card:

For the Twins team evaluation from wild card series click here.

Minnesota beats Cleveland 2-1

Game one:

Stan Bashan did his best Bert Blyleven imitation holding the tribe’s bats to five hits and one run over 9 innings. Meanwhile the twins two runs in the second on a Hisle single the third of three to start the inning and a fielders choice was more than enough to do the job even if they hadn’t added 3 in the sixth and another in the 8th

Twins 7 Indians 1

Game 2:

The Twins and the Tribe traded single runs back and forth off of Bob Moose and Dave McNally until Tony Perez went long with a man on in the 6th one of only 5 hits given up by McNally in 7 innings but Moose pitched 9 and gave up only one hit more to even things up

Indians 4 Twins 2

Game 3

The indians had their ace Jon Matlack for game three while the Twins answered with Alexander. The tribe struck first with one in the 3nd off a Hebner error after a walk and single but in the bottom of the inning. Al Oliver singled and Ray Fossie doubled him in to tie the game and then Mark Belanger throwing error plated Fossie and Sent Grich to 2nd with nobody out. He made it to 3rd on an Appricio single and scored on a Sac fly making it 3-1 when Buddy Bell returned the favor with an error of his own loading the bases and allowing Aparicio to score on a fielders choice. They never looked back. Each team traded a run later on but once Sparky Lyle came on the mound in the 9th the series belonged to Minnesota as he retired the side in order.

Twins 5 Indians 2

The pick: Baltimore is facing a Twins team that just won a close and played them even all season but it’s impossible to ignore the combination of this lineup with this rotation. I can’t see Minnesota pulling it off although if they can get a lead Lyle can give them a game

Orioles in 4

Chicago Cubs (79 – 83 ) at Cincinnati Reds: 120-42

Cincy won season series 8-4

Cubs 79-83 Won wild card in 3 games For team eval click here

Game 1 Burt Hooten held the Braves to a single run while Jeff Burroughs went deep on Catfish Hunter who was removed for a pinch hitter after giving up 4 runs in two innings. Those four were all the Cubs would need.

Chicago 9 Atlanta 1

Game 2

It was Fergie Jenkins who went long only giving up a pair of runs over 8 innings while Chicago went hitless with runners in scoring position. Rick Reuschel pitched into the 7th giving up 4 runs and a pair of homers but while Rollie Fingers gave up a solo shot it in the 9th it wasn’t enough to save the day.

Atlanta 6 Cubs 3

Game 3

Neither starter lasted Kooseman out after three innings and two runs while Decker also gave up a pair of runs but lasted an inning longer. However the Cubs advanced getting one in the 6th, two in the 7th and adding one more in the ninth thanks to going 5-17 with runners in scoring position while the Bravos managed only a single hit in seven such opportunities as three Cubs relievers managed six innings of shutout ball.

Chicago 6 Atlanta 2

Biggest surprise: Caesar Cedeno who had a spectacular season managed only one single in 11 trips to the plate

Cincinnati Reds 120-42

Cincinnati dominated the National League and everyone else making deal after deal to improve their team until they rolled up a final lineup Trades brought the Willie Stargell (.280 31 HR 117 RBI) Bill Sudakis (.282 26 HR 66 RBI) John Mayberry (.253 24 HR 80 RBI), Thurman Munson (.302 11 HR 68 RBI) and Ken Singleton ( .302 13 HR 78 RBI’s) Meanwhile hometown talent Joe Morgan scored an amazing 164 runs thanks to an obp of .402 while stealing 54 bases and Toby Harrah managed 16 HR and 69 RBI while batting .278 and Rookie Ken Griffey batted .322 in part time play a sign of great things to come.

Meanwhile when you look at the stats of the arms in Cincy you notice one amazing fact: The worst ERA for any pitcher who even pitched part of a season for the Reds is 4.80 and the WORST on the current roster who pitched 20 innings or more is Don Gullett who went 15-8 with an ERA of 3.83. Again trades made the difference Jim Brewer 6-1 out of the pen with an ERA of 3.50 & a WHIP of 1.27, Starter Jack Billingham acquired early in the season won 19 of his 20 wins for the Reds with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Bill Bonham 5-3 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Mel Stottlemyre 15-3 3.01 ERA and 1.34 WHIP and finally ageless Don McMahon who went 4-0 with an ERA of 0.96 at the age of 43. But home grown relivers like Pedro Borbon 13-8 22 saves and Dick Barney (10-0) certainly did their share.

And if all of that wasn’t enough their .986 fielding percentage was 4th best in the majors and only a single point behind the 3 leaders.

Secret Weapon: In a league full of base stealers Reds Catchers threw out 14 in 29 attempts (.483)

Peter’s pick: One has to give the Cubs credit for pluck they managed to eliminate a stronger Braves team in three games but facing a team 2nd in the majors in pitching (3.23) OBP (.346 1st in NL) slugging (.429 1st in NL) , 4th in fielding (.986) and first in batting (.265) in the Majors I can’t see pluck managing to win more than one game at best.

Reds in 4

Pittsburgh Pirates 95-67 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 110-52 Pittsburgh 6-4 season series

Pirates 1st Wild Card

Rod Carew hit .353 to lead the majors and scored 121 runs thanks to a .419 OBP while driving in 83. Tommy Harper had a resurgent year scoring 117 of his own while hitting 17 HR and stealing 19 bases. George Scott (.295 16 HR 83 RBI) and Bill Melton (,279 23 HR 88 RBI) gave plenty of people fits but Hammering Hank Aaron ruled the roost smacking 53 Home Runs and driving in 147 while scoring 113 of his own with an OBP of .389. Only Cincy drove in more runs than the Pirates

On the Mound Gaylord Perry had another banner year going 15-7 with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.19. Despite giving up 18 HR in 247 innings Jim Colburn went 15-6 and posted a 3.17 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bill Singer was the hard luck man in the rotation. Batters only hit .213 against him, he put up a WHIP of 1.21 and an ERA of 3.11 but only managed a 14-14 record. Even worse for the Pirates foes if the game got to the 8th or 9th on came Mike Marshall who saved 25 of 29 and went 13-8 in 63 games of relief.

Finally the Pirates had the best defense in the majors with the fewest errors in the majors.

Secret Weapon. Tom Bradly who worked both a starter and a reliver and was highly effective in both locations.

Add these things together and it means a lot of trouble for a lot of good teams with better records.

LA Dodgers 1st in NL Beta Division:

Batting: Willie McCovey .261 34 HR and 90 RBI was a terror to pitchers in the league, so much so that they walked him 132 times (against only 107 k’s). Joe Ferguson only managed to hit .210 but hit 24 HR and drove in 77 when he did hit. Mike Lum and Garry Maddox both hit over .300 to support the cause which helped them to a +243 run differental.

But the real reason for that number was the pitching. The TEAM ERA of the Dodgers was 2.49! That’s just under 3/4 of a run less than any other major league team. The duo of Tom Seaver (7-3 2.50) acquired from the Daytraders and Don Sutton 22-10 2.32 are a devastating pair. The underrated Wayne Twitchell went 16-7 with a 2.49 ERA a WHIP of 1.07 and an avg against .191 while pitching 3rd in the rotation. To put it all in perspective. The pitcher who did the worst for them was J. R. Richard who had a 3.46 ERA with batters hitting .206 against him. He’s the #5 man.

The Dodgers have a good offense but not overpowering however their rotation is so much better than anyone else how does a team manage to have a chance?

Peter’s Pick

If there was a series of the week this one would be it. Two formidable teams with two excellent managers. By sheer numbers one must make the Dodgers who finished a full 15 games ahead of the Bucks the edge but that didn’t stop Pittsburgh from winning the season series. Basically star studded hitting (Pit) with one great pitcher and plenty of very good ones vs a star studded rotation with one star hitter and an excellent supporting cast. With the #1 & 2 NL Cy Young pitchers and a team ERA almost a full runner better than Pit the Dodgers will be stingy but I have a feeling that Hammering Hank will get the last laugh.

Pirates in 5 but just barely