This news via Twitter is interesting:
Christine O’Donnell leading longtime Congressman and Governor Mike Castle 47-44. That 3 point lead is well within the poll’s margin of error.
If Castle is indeed defeated Tuesday night it will be yet another sign that conservatives have a strangle hold on the Republican Party and moderates may or may not be welcome anymore. Castle has an overwhelming 69-21 lead with moderate voters but they only make up 33% of the likely primary electorate. O’Donnell has a 62-31 lead with conservatives that’s more than enough to propel her to the overall lead.
Your one stop source for all things Delaware has no extra news on this yet, but this totally changes the game in the state.
Why has Mike Castle lost so much popularity? Maybe he was at this meeting:
One day, DeMint had had enough. He rose up in a seminar to question why representatives of the party of smaller government were so focused on earmarks and political fundraising. Why aren’t we talking about reforming the federal tax code or addressing the health care mess?
Midst laughter, someone shouted, “You’ll catch on to the system, DeMint.” But DeMint never did.
And if that poll was off before this news will cement it
“If the only option I have is to vote for those at 250 and below, of course I’m going to do that,” Boehner said. “But I’m going to do everything I can to fight to make sure that we extend the current tax rates for all Americans.”
Earth of Boehner it will be the only option till Jan 6th with the new congress comes around. That kind of talk angers and energizes conservatives…
…and this is simply nonsense:
The best estimates of observers in the state put turnout in Tuesday’s closed Republican primary around 40,000 voters. For Tea Party-backed Christine O’Donnell, the lower the turnout, the better on Tuesday.
This is exactly wrong, the conservative and tea party base that at one time didn’t bother to vote is going to come out in droves. I suspect the urban base that the writer is looking for to turn out for Castle might not be able to vote in a republican primary.
I’d keep an eye on this space the next day or two but If I had to put a $20 down, it would be on Christine.
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