Hamas Ghastly Dead Jew Math & a Suggestion to Israel

Posted: October 28, 2023 by datechguy in Uncategorized

if the same battle were to be fought over again, every day, through a week of days, with the same relative results, the army under Lee would be wiped out to its last man, while the Army of the Potomac would still be a mighty host. The war would be over. The Confederacy gone.

Lincoln reflecting on the Gigantic Union defeat at Battle of Fredericksburg

During the American Civil War one of the things that Abraham Lincoln understood before anything else that the primary objective of the Union Army was the defeat and destruction of the Confederate Army (particularly the army of Northern Virginia commanded by Robert E. Lee). He understood that however grand Lee and his subordinates from Longstreet to AP Hill to Jackson were in the end the math was in his favor.

Eventually he found US Grant to command in the east who instead of retreating after defeats like the Wilderness kept attacking. Grant’s Army was bleed badly but Lee’s was bleed drive to the point where he was besieged and while it might resist a flanking movement or two against them, was no longer a threat to do anything but slowly starve.

And that brings us to Hamas and the reality, and the math of the situation.

The reality is that the Hamas and their supporters don’t care about a Palestinian state, They could have had one for the last quarter century if they wanted one but have already declined.

Furthermore they are not interested in people who target Muslims. In China and elsewhere Muslims have been targeted and slaughtered without a peep from any of them, largely because with the exception of China the people targeting Muslims for slaughter have been other Muslims.

What they are interested in are dead Jews and the attack on Israel was all about producing dead Jews which is why women and children are a preferred target as they are:

  • Easier to kill
  • Less likely to shoot back
  • Either are or produce the next generation of Jews

The academic left not withstanding Hamas understands that every dead Israeli women means fewer Jews in the future which makes it easier to kill Jews.

But Hamas understands one thing even better more and that’s the ghastly math that is in their favor.

Israel has a population of about 11 million with about 7 1/2 million of them Jews. Let’s compare that to the population of the countries bordering them:

  • Population of Egypt: 110 Million
  • Population of Jordan: 11 million
  • Population of Lebanon 5 Million
  • Population of Syria: 20 Million (estimated: It was 21 mil at the start of the Civil war two years ago)

and finally let’s add Gaza

  • Population of Gaza 2 million

That adds up to 148 million people surrounding Israel’s 11 million. I suspect practically none of those 148 million would shed a tear if Israel disappeared tomorrow. A ratio of more than 10 to 1 and remember we’re only counting lands adjacent to Israel, we aren’t counting Iran, Iraq, Turkey, Saudi Arabia or Yemen, Morocco, Libya or any other Arab state nearby that would cheer the destruction of Israel from afar.

The math is rather simple and can be illustrated by the results of the six day war.

The six day war was one of the most decisive victories in the history of history. Alone Israel defeated 3 foes (four if you count Iraq) so decisively that diplomats rushed to restrain them before they could reach Damascus or go beyond the Jordan river to the east or beyond the Suez canal. It was one of the most humiliating defeats the Arab world ever saw.

But examine the causalities:

According to Wikipedia the arab casualties were as follows (taking the high numbers of the range):

  • Egypt 15,000 killed or missing 4338 captured 19338 causalities
  • Jordan 700 killed, 2500 wounded, 533 captured 3733 casualties
  • Syria 2500 killed 591 captured 3091 causalities
  • Iraq 10 killed 30 wounded 40 causalities

That comes to 18210 killed or missing, 2530 wounded and 5462 captured for a total of 26,202 casualties

Now lets take a look at Israel’s causalities and this time take the low number of the ranges given:

Israel 776 killed, 4517 wounded , 15 captured. that comes to 5308 casualties. It’s a five to one ratio which on the battle field is a ratio of epic proportions a disaster.

However the reality is that the population of the Arabs states that border Israel isn’t 5-1 it’s 13 to 1.

Put simply the Arab world if it was willing could lose a six day war every six days for a year with the same casualty ratio as the original and it wouldn’t make as huge a dent in their population as it would on Israel.

Israel has already suffered 2000 + causalities before any invasion of Gaza. That means that if unless Hamas causalities are in the tens of thousands they are already ahead in terns if the math.

I suspect that is their primary goal, to get the rest of the Arab world to a state where they are willing to fight and die for their cause even at a causality rate of 5-1 in Israel’s favor.

That however is where the Hamas math plan tends to fall apart. I suspect that the Arab states aren’t all that anxious to have their infrastructure destroyed and all those breathless protestors who are shouting in the safety of western capitals are unlikely to decide to come to Gaza to fight but that’s what the folks on the Hamas home team are shooting for.

I suspect the next few weeks of the war will not work well toward that goal.

As for Israel? How would I counter this? Three things.

  1. Keep doing what you’re doing. The slow systematic destruction of Hamas is the best way to keep the other Arab states from succumbing to any pressure to jump in.
  2. Create a series of front company offering to send any willing militant protestors in the west to Gaza to fight. This will not only allow you to weed out the most dangerous of those folks in the west who might threaten Jews there but will be a great disincentive for those who continue to march. I suspect it wouldn’t take too many of them being blown up to change the minds of the idle rich looking to virtue signal.
  3. Adopt the “proportional response” language of the left when asked about causalities. Based on the figures above any number of Hamas causalities below 26,000 will still be at a “proportional rate” to the local anti-Israel Arab populations and of course that number will rise depending on the number of Israeli causalities suffered in the action and you could even include all those loud marching mobs in the base figure and still claim “proportionality”.

Stay at home babies? Not so fast…

Posted: October 28, 2023 by navygrade36bureaucrat in charity
Tags: , ,

It’s no surprise that many American kids are part of the “boomerang” generation, moving back in with their parents in their mid to late 20s. Rising housing costs and student debt load, coupled with a low inventory of cheap starter homes makes it hard to make it on your own. Even 18 years ago when I had to find housing on my own for the first time, I purchased a house and had to rent two of the three bedrooms to friends to make it economically feasible.

Generated by Bing AI

It’s tempting to say the current generation of 20-somethings is lazy and just doesn’t want to leave, and even more tempting to say it’s an American thing. Too many people just assume that Americans, on average, are lazier and fatter than your average European, Indian, Chinese, or other ethnic population. But I’ve traveled the world quite a bit, and I’ve found that is often not the case.

Let’s look at Italy, where a 75-year-old mother just won a court battle to evict her 40- and 42-year-old sons:

The 75-year-old mother, whose name has not been publicly released, made several unsuccessful attempts to persuade her sons, also unnamed, to move out of her home in Pavia in northern Italy, the news agency reported. Despite having jobs, the men —aged 40 and 42 — refused to find alternative accommodation of their own, ANSA said. They also refused to contribute to household expenses despite having their own incomes and failed to help out with household chores, per ANSA.

Insider.com

I mean, dang…42 years old and has a job? Talk about a freeloader! This article sparked my curiosity on what the average age of moving out in Europe is, which apparently varies widely by country:

Image from EuroStat

The EU average is around 26, and the US average is….24-27, with 78% of kids 27 and older not living in their parents house. The only weird outliers in Europe is Sweden, where it appears to be strongly encouraged to leave the house at 18 no matter what.

Interestingly enough, even when kids in America move back into their parent’s house, it’s not for long, as almost 40% of them moved back and then out again before the age of 27. My guess is for every loser son or daughter that is staying at home and not contributing, there are 10-20 kids simply saving money with the plan to move out, and are grateful for their parents help, and compared to Europe, they are doing slightly better than the European average.

Let’s not jump onto the “American 20-somethings are adult babies” bandwagon…the kids might be alright after all.

Yael Bar tur: Analysis True

Posted: October 27, 2023 by datechguy in middle east
Tags: ,

It’s a Pretty long list but this tweet says it all:

Here is the full list:

  • If you advocate for an “Intifada”, which means a violent uprising against the Jews in their homeland – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Israel is “Occupying Gaza” without knowing that Israel forcefully removed all 9,000 of its residents from Gaza in 2005, and since then the only Jews living in Gaza have been 229 hostages that Hamas kidnapped – you’re an antisemite
  • If you chant from the “River to the Sea”, meaning the elimination of the sovereign state of Israel and home to its 9 million residents – you’re an antisemite
  • If you think indiscriminate violence against civilians by a bloodthirsty mob is a form of “resistance” – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say there is “ethnic cleansing” without understanding that Israel does everything to minimize civilian casualties including pleading with the local population to evacuate before an attack – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say there is “genocide” without saying that if Hamas lay down it’s weapons today there would be peace, but if Israel does the same it will be eliminated – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say “Free Palestine” without acknowledging the Palestinians refusal to in fact “free Palestine” themselves by signing all the offers Israel offered it over the years asking for only peace in return – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Israel is a “white supremacist” country despite more than half of Israeli jews being from Arab and north African countries – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Israel is a “settler colonialist” state, despite Jews being indigenous to the land and Israel being a sovereign country for 75 years – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say indiscriminate violence against civilians by a bloodthirsty mob is a form of resistance – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you call Israel an Apartheid country without acknowledging that Arab-Israelis have equal rights and freedom of religion in Israel, and are freer here than in any other Mid East country – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you refuse to acknowledge the worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust and instead call it “the situation” or “the tensions in the Middle East” – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you oppose Israel because you stand with Muslims, but never made a peep about hundreds of thousands killed in Yemen, Syria, Sudan, Iran etc. – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you stand with Palestinians, but don’t demand rights for Palestinians in Syria and Lebanon where they have none — you’re an antisemite.
  • If you refuse to believe the IDF, but think Hamas is a legitimate source of information – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you believe everything Hamas says, except their charter where they say they want to kill all Jews – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say murdering 1,400 men, women and children and kidnapping 229 is a response to Netanyahu being “right wing” – you’re an antisemite.
  • If your response to a massacre is to call for a “ceasefire” instead of the immediate release of the hostages and dismantlement of the perpetrators – you may not be an antisemite, but you’re really dumb.
  • If you say Israel attacks indiscriminately, and not in precise airstrikes against Hamas targets that happen to be purposly placed in schools, hospitals, and mosques – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Israel attacks just to “punish” Palestinians, and not in order to prevent more harm to Israelis from stockpiled weapons and terrorists – you’re an antisemite.
  • If the only Israeli perspective you are willing to listen to are a few fringe Israeli academics or artists who hate their country – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you “stand firmly” against antisemitism when the perptrator is someone from across the political divide, but mix words over Palestinians massacring Jews in Israel – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you oppose “victim blaming” but feel the need to put horrors of October 7th “in context” whenever they are mentioned – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you’ve ever said “believe all women” but demand to see autopsies before believing women were raped in front of their friends’ eyes – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you’ve ever proudly declared that “hate has no home here” but don’t speak up against harassment of your Jewish friends– you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you support indigenous people yet don’t care that Jews have had a steady presence in the land of Israel for thousands of years – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you’re an LGBTQ+ ally…I can’t even do this one, it’s too stupid.
  • If you’re more concerned with exactly how many babies were beheaded instead of why the babies lost their heads – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say people are brainwashed by watching Fox News, but that Palestinians who are fed a steady diet of Jihad-glorification and Jew-hatred in their textbooks and children’s shows are freethinking freedom fighters – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Gaza was “stolen” from a country called “Palestine” and not won in battle against Egypt, who controlled Gaza until 1967 when they tried to destroy Israel – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Arab terrorism against Jews is solely a response to settlements, meaning it only began in 1967 when Israel won a war against Jordan (West Bank) and Egypt (Gaza) after they tried to destroy Israel – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say there was a sovereign country called “Palestine” with a president and a flag before 1948 instead of the British Mandate of Palestine – you’re an antisemite (and also ignorant).
  • If you say poor living conditions and lack of food in Gaza are the fault of Israel and don’t mention Hamas spends billions of foreign aid dollars on weapons I you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say Israel cuts off electricity to Gaza, without acknowledging that Israel itself provides the electricity in the first place, and that Hamas repurposes virtually all the electricity and fuel for terrorism – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you blame Israel for Gaza running out water, but not Hamas who ruins the water infastructure and takes the water pipes and repurposes them as rocket launchers – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you compare the bloodlust of Hamas, an elected government that controls Gaza, to a few fringe extremists who exist in Israel like they do in every society – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you are afraid to call out Hamas terrorism because you think it’s offensive to Muslims – you’re an antisemite, and also racist.
  • If you don’t call out Egypt, which shares a border with Gaza through which they could send relief and take all the refugees, but refuse to – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you call to “end the blockade” without acknowledging that the blockade is only on 2nd use materials, and is a response to the smuggling of weapons aimed at Israel into Gaza – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you compare death tolls like they’re basketball scores without acknowledging that Hamas is the source, and that they use their own people as human shields, preventing them from leaving dangerous areas despite the IDF warning them to – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you worry about Palestinian refugees but not about tens of thousands of Israeli refugees from the north and south who have had to evacuate their homes because of Hamas & Hezbollah – you’re an antisemite.
  • If you say you’re not an antisemite but merely an antizionist, meaning you oppose the mere existence of a safe haven for the Jews in their ancestral homeland alongside it’s neighbors – well, you get the idea.

Frankly for a lot of the college student’s it’s all about the religion of leftism their colleges have pumped in them once our enemies figured it was easier to buy college administrators and professors than weapons systems. They don’t go obsolete as quickly

The Massachusetts House of Representatives passed a colossal gun grabbing abomination

Posted: October 26, 2023 by Jon Fournier in Uncategorized
Tags: , , , , ,

The Commonwealth of Massachusetts has long been a far left hell whole.  Every election cycle the citizens of this state send the most ardent leftists to Beacon Hill.  The recent election of Maura Healey to the governorship is proof of this.

The vast majority of leftist abhor guns just like vampires abhor garlic and crucifixes.  They find it distasteful that individuals can use guns to defend their lives, their freedom =, and their property.  Just this week the House of Representatives here in Massachusetts passes a gun grabbing bill that is so odious that police departments across this state have condemned it.

This press release chronicles the most outrageous provisions of the bill: MA: Massive Anti-gun Bill Passes House | GOA (gunowners.org)

  • Redefines “Assault-style firearm” to be more extensive and bans ALMOST ALL semi-automatic   firearms from civilian ownership.
  • Redefines “firearm” into a broader term that includes even stun guns.
  • Mandates “safe storage” procedures, locking up guns against your will.
  • Mandates REGISTRATION of all guns and feeding devices.
  • Includes confusing language for new MA residents and the serialization of guns.
  • Mandates reporting any parts modifications to firearms to the state.
  • Mandates reporting an itemized list of parts when modifying or building a gun.
  • Mandates serializing of feeding devices (magazines).
  • Mandates that privately made guns need to be registered within 7 days.
  • Bans anyone under 21 from acquiring or carrying semi-automatic rifles or shotguns.
  • Forces new requirements for firearms retailers.
  • Forces new training mandates for law-abiding gun owners.
  • Adds additional prohibited areas where even licensed individuals cannot defend themselves with a firearm.

This article, NRA-ILA | Massachusetts: Anti-Gun Bill Passes House (nraila.org) includes more details.

H. 4135 re-writes gun laws in the Commonwealth and imposes unprecedented gun-control. This is an ominous bill that includes the worst anti-gun legislation in the country, including:

  • Widespread bans on commonly owned firearms,
  •  Eliminating due process through expanded “Red Flag” laws,
  • Implementing new “safe storage” mandates in and out of your home,
  • Instituting expanded gun registry programs,
  • Placing an extreme financial burden on gun-owners to price them out of being able to exercise their Second Amendment rights,
  • And much more.

This bill violates the following provisions of the Massachusetts Constitution (malegislature.gov)

Article I.

All men are born free and equal, and have certain natural, essential, and unalienable rights; among which may be reckoned the right of enjoying and defending their lives and liberties; that of acquiring, possessing, and protecting property; in fine, that of seeking and obtaining their safety and happiness

Article XVII.

The people have a right to keep and to bear arms for the common defence. And as, in time of peace, armies are dangerous to liberty, they ought not to be maintained without the consent of the legislature; and the military power shall always be held in an exact subordination to the civil authority, and be governed by it.

The Preamble of the Massachusetts Constitution contains a very workable solution to this execrable legislation.

The end of the institution, maintenance, and administration of government, is to secure the existence of the body politic, to protect it, and to furnish the individuals who compose it with the power of enjoying in safety and tranquility their natural rights, and the blessings of life: and whenever these great objects are not obtained, the people have a right to alter the government, and to take measures necessary for their safety, prosperity and happiness.

Older Entries
Newer Entries