Posts Tagged ‘reality’

A: She is so irrelevant that the Washington Post gave her op/ed space today on Climategate and Copenhagen:

The e-mails reveal that leading climate “experts” deliberately destroyed records, manipulated data to “hide the decline” in global temperatures, and tried to silence their critics by preventing them from publishing in peer-reviewed journals. What’s more, the documents show that there was no real consensus even within the CRU crowd. Some scientists had strong doubts about the accuracy of estimates of temperatures from centuries ago, estimates used to back claims that more recent temperatures are rising at an alarming rate.

It’s actually even worse than that if you look at the Volokh Conspiracy (one of the best blogs that I don’t regularly read or link to. I have no explanation for that) it links to another damning post on the subject:

Yikes again, double yikes! What on earth justifies that adjustment? How can they do that? We have five different records covering Darwin from 1941 on. They all agree almost exactly. Why adjust them at all? They’ve just added a huge artificial totally imaginary trend to the last half of the raw data! Now it looks like the IPCC diagram in Figure 1, all right … but a six degree per century trend? And in the shape of a regular stepped pyramid climbing to heaven? What’s up with that?

Those, dear friends, are the clumsy fingerprints of someone messing with the data Egyptian style … they are indisputable evidence that the “homogenized” data has been changed to fit someone’s preconceptions about whether the earth is warming.

One thing is clear from this. People who say that “Climategate was only about scientists behaving badly, but the data is OK” are wrong. At least one part of the data is bad, too. The Smoking Gun for that statement is at Darwin Zero.

So once again, I’m left with an unsolved mystery. How and why did the GHCN “adjust” Darwin’s historical temperature to show radical warming? Why did they adjust it stepwise? Do Phil Jones and the CRU folks use the “adjusted” or the raw GHCN dataset? My guess is the adjusted one since it shows warming, but of course we still don’t know … because despite all of this, the CRU still hasn’t released the list of data that they actually use, just the station list.

It is a crime against science that stuff like this is going on and data continues to be held back. Volokh reminds us we have seen this before:

Turning declines in raw data into rises in one’s tables is one of the things that led to Michael Bellesiles’s resignation from Emory in the Arming America scandal.

You might remember that Bellesiles and his book Arming America was was hailed and lionized when it was released but when the facts came out he lost his Bancroft prize and his university position over his phony data. This was under a decade ago yet people forget.

Back to the Palin Op-ed she brings up a second oft ignored point:

In his inaugural address, President Obama declared his intention to “restore science to its rightful place.” But instead of staying home from Copenhagen and sending a message that the United States will not be a party to fraudulent scientific practices, the president has upped the ante. He plans to fly in at the climax of the conference in hopes of sealing a “deal.” Whatever deal he gets, it will be no deal for the American people. What Obama really hopes to bring home from Copenhagen is more pressure to pass the Democrats’ cap-and-tax proposal. This is a political move. The last thing America needs is misguided legislation that will raise taxes and cost jobs — particularly when the push for such legislation rests on agenda-driven science.

Why is this being done? Powerline has some answers:

That’s right: the Godfather of the Democratic Party, who exerts his enormous political influence to prevent American oil companies from developing our own petroleum resources in the Gulf of Mexico and elsewhere, has placed his biggest bet–not on the United States, but on Brazil. If Exxon Mobil can’t compete in the Caribbean with Petrobras, the value of Soros’s Petrobras investment will skyrocket. That’s the sort of thievery that lies behind the Democratic Party’s deliberate hobbling of the American economy.

He links to this Washington Post article on the subject:

“It’s going to change the role of Brazil in the geopolitics of oil,” Petrobras’s president, José Sergio Gabrielli, said in an interview at the company’s headquarters in Rio de Janeiro. “We are going to become a much bigger producer.”

Petrobras estimates that production in Brazil could reach 3.9 million barrels by 2020, up from more than 2 million a day now. Proven oil reserves would rise from 14.4 billion barrels to more than 30 billion barrels, according to government estimates, putting Brazil in the same league as such major oil exporters as Qatar, Canada, Kazakhstan and Nigeria.

4000 high paying jobs and more production. Our democratic party ties our hands while their patron gets rich from it. How nice would it be if those jobs were here?

Yup good thing we didn’t vote for that irreverent Palin

Never forget elections have consequences, we did this to ourselves.

Update: Apparently left has gone nuts over the idea of the Wa post running this oped. the funniest line is this one:

Fred Hiatt Wants The Washington Post to Go Out of Business

What other explanation could there be for deciding that he wants to run an op-ed by Sarah Palin about how Obama should “boycott” the Copenhagen conference?

After all who wants to hear what Sarah Palin has to say. It’s not like she sold a million books over a couple of weeks or is being greeted by crowds and lines wherever she goes. Why would a business that makes it’s profit based on issue sales or eyeballs have any interest in someone like her.

If I thought he actually believed it then this would be a jump the shark moment for Matt Yglesias

God are they afraid of her.

Update 2: Fred Sargent doesn’t like Sarah Palin but he gets full marks for not denying reality.

To be clear, I’m not defending the decision to run the piece. I wouldn’t have run it. I’m just pointing out the undeniable fact that the woman’s name gets people clicking. Until people stop clicking, Palin and her views will continue to get attention.

It’s a start.

and the people there who are producing more carbon in one meeting that 60 countries in a year then look at these clips from the Yes Minister Episode The Moral Dimension.

What the defends of Copenhagen really need is Sir Humphrey

This cartoon that I’ve used before explains the mindset too:

Liberalism defined!

I started collecting comics around 1975 when I was 12. Unlike the “cool” comic collectors I was a DC guy and one of the things I enjoyed was a lot was Batman. One story always stuck with me and that was in Batman 283.

The story “Omega Bomb Target: Gotham City” was a neat story about a blackmail attempt on Gotham city. A Hungarian nuclear scientist is kidnapped by a group who anchors a ship supposedly containing a nuclear device in Gotham harbor. They demand a ransom of 1 billion dollars. (As you can see they were way ahead of Dr. Evil).

Batman manages to rescue professor Nagy he is out of it but keeps muttering “Nembomba”. Batman then boards the ship and catches the baddies because “Nembomba” means “No Bomb”.

Batman explains to Commissioner Gordan that it was all a bluff saying:

What’s the next best thing to having the bomb? Convincing everyone else you have the bomb.”

Although Saddam might disagree that line stuck with me all these years and brings to mind the whole Birther issue.

I have already said that President Obama was born in the US, his overseas travel (passports requires birth certificates) and the birth announcement from the paper all in the days before his prominence are to me strong and the Clinton’s non action with the presidency at stake make it conclusive.

One question often asked is why doesn’t the president just release the original records? Hotair’s explanation:

The biggest reason? It wouldn’t work. The same people who believe that Obama forged a Certificate of Live Birth twice corroborated by the state that issued it will insist that Obama got someone to forge any new records produced by Hawaii as well. It’s the same reason that having Palin produce her gynecological records won’t satisfy Andrew Sullivan and why producing the phone records from United 93 families to prove that they haven’t been in contact with the supposedly still-alive-but-hiding passengers on the 9/11 flight won’t change Truther minds. The conspiracy theorists have far too much invested in their argument to retreat.

Good argument but WRONG! The president isn’t holding back because it is futile, he’s holding back because it is not.

It a bluff. They WANT this stuff to suck as many people into it as possible. Every day that people are talking about “Birth” stuff is a day they don’t have to talk about every dumb this president is doing. I said this back on July 28th and it’s even more true today. Today’s 1-2 punch on MSNBC is a great example of this. This is Longstreet waiting for the last Union reserves to go in before using his artillery to break them at 2nd Bull Run.

If the truthers are confined to cranks like Philip Berg who is just out to con people out of a buck, then the Obama administration gets no political capital out of it. If by suspicious behavior and omissions they can arouse interest in the general conservative movement then it can be a winner. This can only be done if people think there is something being hidden, or to paraphrase Batman above:

What’s the next best thing to having a hidden smoking gun? Making everyone THINK you have a hidden smoking gun.

The best part about it is they can wait till there is a big fish deep in the net before landing them and can play it any time in the next 3 years or beyond as needed.

The entire birther business is a trap and conservatives, would be smart to avoid it.

This morning while everyone was getting ready to go to school I was sitting on the couch next to my oldest watching Morning Joe when the latest of the Direct TV film ads went up on the screen.

I commented to my 18 year old son that I know I’m getting old because I didn’t recognize the video or who the girl in it was. I asked my teenage son who that was…

…he said it looked like Lady Gaga.

Now a few clicks on the net and I discovered that it was Christina Aguilara and the video was for a song called Keeps getting better.

I’m a balding graying 46 who has been married 21 years, I might be excused for not knowing or recognizing her or her music, but my son is 18 and in college, works in a local department store, was active in theater in high school and is in the improv club in college.

This was an embarrassment to him, he had some concerns it might make him an object of some ridicule among his peers when this post went up. What a geek! What a dork! My answer was his fellows at college can enjoy their laugh…

…until graduation when they won’t have time to laugh as they struggle to pay back those student loans taken to pay for school while he while he completes his through college with Das Full Boat.

If he shakes off the laughs and continues to hit the books it won’t matter if he keeps his car radio on his classical stations, and hangs out with sober, religious, drug free friends like Amanda and company. (A crowd that rivals or defeats my college group in sobriety and beats us in the sick sense of humor division but loses to us hands down in the medieval edged weapons category.) He will come out of college way ahead financially and with the freedom to decide what he wants to do without a millstone of debt around his neck to hold him back.

If the economy hasn’t recovered by then it might just be the edge he needs to make it. I guess the joke isn’t on him after all. Remember Sheldon didn’t know who Radiohead was but who did Penny turn to for help…

and no I don’t know who Radiohead is either.

Update: But I bet these teen girls do.