Let’s Revisit the Tom Brady Expectations game with Tampa Bay now that his Three Years are up

Posted: February 2, 2023 by datechguy in nfl, Sports
Tags: , ,

Tom Brady has once again retired from Football, this time at the age of 45 as he said he would.

This makes an opportune time to judge if his time in Tampa should be considered a success. First let’s consider it in terms of: “Was it a success for Tampa Bay”?

As I wrote previously before Brady this was Tampa Bay’s History:

  • Had a winning record 30% of the time (13 seasons)
  • Won 11 or more games 7% of the time (3 seasons 1999,2002,2005)
  • Won their division 12% of the time (1970,1981, 1999,2002,2005,2007)
  • Made the playoffs 23% of the time (10 seasons)
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 9% of the time (1979,1997,1999,2002)
  • Won the Superbowl 2% (100% of the times they went 2002)

With Brady Tampa Bay…

  • Had a winning record 67% of the time (2 seasons)
  • Won 11 or more games 67% of the time (2 seasons)
  • Won their division 67% of the time (2 seasons)
  • Made the playoffs 100% of the time (3 seasons)
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time (2 seasons)
  • Won the Superbowl 33% of the time (100% of the time)

By any standard for Tampa Bay the Tom Brady Years were the most successful time in their history. It is unlikely to be repeated.

Now let’s look at things from the Tom Brady standard or rather by the Tom Brady standard after age 40 In the 3 years a 40 year old Tom Brady played with the Pats he:

  • Had a winning record 100% of the time
  • Won at least 12 games 67% of the time (at least 11 100%)
  • Won his division 100% of the time
  • Made the playoffs 100% of the time
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time
  • Gone to the Superbowl 67% of the time
  • Won the Superbowl 33% of the time

Here is how he did with Tampa Bay in his three years to age 45.

  • Had a winning record 67% of the time
  • Won at least 12 games 33% of the time (at least 11 67%)
  • Won his division 67% of the time
  • Made the playoffs 100% of the time
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time
  • Gone to the Superbowl 33% of the time
  • Won the Superbowl 33% of the time

By the Tom Brady standard he had a small drop in performance

Here were the expectations I set at the time of his signing:

  • Tampa Bay Should expect to have a winning record 100% of the time Fail
  • Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least 10 games 67% of the time (Success)
  • Tampa Bay Should expect to make the playoffs 67% of the time (Exceeded expectations)
  • Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least one playoff game 67% of the time (Success)
  • They should expect to win their division at least 33% of the time (Exceeded expectations)
  • They should make the NFC Championship game at least once (Exceeded expectations and they one one Superbowl)

Bottom line, Tampa Bay and Tom Brady can hold their head up high. He delivered for them and they delivered for him.

As for the Patriots…well that another story.

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