Glenn links to Stacy’s latest about that Scott Brown Feeling
That’s the big story here. Barney Frank’s MA-4 seat isn’t on Charlie Cook’s radar, either, but Sean Bielat clearly has Barney on the defensive here. The only Massachusetts seats ranked by Cook are the open MA-10 seat (“leans Democrat,” with a no-name Democrat against Republican Jeff Perry) and MA-5 (“likely Democrat” with Republican Jon Golnik challenging Niki Tsongas).
If Bielat can beat Barney — and Barney seems to be sweating it now — then those Perry and Golnik will also be riding that Big Red Wave, here in Massachusetts where “Downtown Scotty Brown” already proved the Democrats can be beat. Just last night, thanks to my friend Pete Da Tech Guy, I interviewed three candidates — Bill Gunn in MA-1, Tom Wesley in MA-2, Marty Lamb in MA-3 — all of whom are running hard in districts that Scott Brown won in January.
If that Big Red Wave hits on Nov. 2, there are no “safe” Democrats.
I had a talk with hard-working canvasser this month doors were in the process of slamming until the word “Republican” was spoken. At that point doors opened and lit taken. This has been the regular experience reported to me. Combine this with the Jim McKenna results and this state is a wagon of Nitro about to blow up on Democrats.
Listen the only absolutely safe seat in Ma for democrats is ma-8 and that’s only safe because there is no opposition. I’m cautiously predicting 3 seats but if I woke up to 7 I would not be shocked. (Nine now THAT would shock me)!
Update: Stacy is on the Bielat/Beat Barney beat and has this story in the Spectator that says in part:
“They’ve got no operation over there,” Phillips said of the Frank campaign. As Bielat told reporters at a Sept. 26 rally, “They have one campaign office. It’s always empty. We have three. They’re always full.”
Bielat’s Newton office wasn’t full Sunday morning, but it was open and in full swing, with at least three volunteers calling voters in a telephone canvassing operation that has already reached some 30,000 likely voters and, at a pace of more than 2,000 new contacts daily, could approach the 50,000 mark within a week.
This is going to be a huge night in Massachusetts. It will be the place to be on election day.
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