Archive for the ‘politics’ Category

The “Time Share media” strikes again

Posted: October 5, 2010 by datechguy in elections, politics
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Yesterday memeorandum was all aflutter about Democrats coming back, about the large leads for democrats in polls. Captain Ed Morrissey (he will always be Captain Ed to me) however finds it is just another example of the time share media in action:

And how did the Democrats manage this rather remarkable comeback? Well, the WaPo/ABC pollster managed to find their usual sample gap. They went from a 31/25/39 D/R/I split in September in the general sample and 31/26/37 among registered voters, to 33/23/29 in the general sample and 34/25/37 among registered voters. That nine-point advantage to Democrats among RVs is almost twice what it was in the previous sample.

Of course it might be that democrats are using the new tactics like hiding they are democrats:

With voters in an anti-incumbent mood and a national headwind against their party, some freshman Democrats are touting themselves as unaffiliated outsiders — and it may help them win reelection.

Running against Washington isn’t easy when you’ve got an office on Capitol Hill. But Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper (D-Pa.) has effectively positioned herself as a challenger in her race against Republican Mike Kelly.

One of Dahlkemper’s first TV ads slams Congress and never mentions that she’s an incumbent.

It gets even better, Check out this “Deval Patrick” ad running in Massachusetts:

Not only is this ad missing the party of Deval Patrick and Tim Murray it’s missing Deval Patrick!

This is where the Democrats are in Massachusetts. Their candidate for governor is so unpopular that the Lt. Gov is featured in ads instead of him. If Tim Cahill wasn’t running as an independent Patrick would have no prayer against Charlie Baker.

Memeorandum thread here

Voices of the Candidates Matt Beaton 11th Worcester

Posted: October 4, 2010 by datechguy in elections, politics
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I talked to Matt Beaton candidate for the 11th Worcester district about his race:

He is running for the seat that Karen Polito is vacating

The end of the saga of the wandering Olver sign

Posted: October 4, 2010 by datechguy in elections, local stuff, politics, short films/interviews
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First there was the Bill Gunn signs everywhere

Then there was the Olver sign at the closed business on John Fitch Highway that was gone in 48 hours.

48 Hours later it moved to Burger King and was gone the same day.

The Olver sign disappears from Burger King

But at last 48 Hours later it has apparently found a permanent home at Jiffy Lube on 541 John Fitch Highway

I talked to the guys at Jiffy Lube. They said a lady came by and asked permission to put the sign up and they agreed. So the 3rd time is the charm and in a city where Bill Gunn signs abound the John Olver’s sign finally has a home.

Awwwwwwwwww

Of course if it changes I’ll let you know.

29 days to election day…

Posted: October 4, 2010 by datechguy in elections, media, politics
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…and the news that is being reported is that democrats are gaining momentum! Morning Joe had Politico reporting this today.

However at the Hill there is a little bug in the report:

Over the past few weeks, Democrats have made steady progress in narrowing the voters enthusiasm gap with Republicans, the White House claimed Sunday.emphasis mine

Oh so this is a White House CLAIM. Based on the president giving a speech in a state that is supposed to be blue. And we are treating it as gospel?

Politico continues to play the Democratic optimism game delegating their caveats to the last three paragraphs:

“It speaks volumes about the current political landscape that Democrats in Washington are trying to seek solace in some of the bluest states in the country,” said NRSC spokesman Brian Walsh. “But even in states like California and Washington, our Republican candidates are very much within striking distance, while our candidates in Wisconsin, Connecticut and elsewhere are surging.”

Democrats also continue to face a daunting landscape in gubernatorial races and it’s a revealing sign of the difficulty of the cycle that they’re seizing on polls showing them losing, if by smaller margins, as an indicator of success.

Indeed, part of what might ultimately help Democratic gubernatorial hopefuls is that some races are so clearly beyond repair that the DGA will be able to direct resources into those where their candidates still have a path to victory.

Boy that’s what I call a reason to cheer!

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