Today’s DaTechGuy off Daradio podcast is starting at 10 AM EST both because of a shift I’m picking up at work (despite the horrible Trump economy) and to dodge the censorshp of twitter (& possibility youtube).
Topics include
Trump’s path to stay in the White House
Why we should fight
odds and ends
And Twitter’s repeated lockdowns of my account (including one likely during the podcast)
You can watch it all here (unless my connection goes unstable again (unexpectedly of course)
And remember every thing we get comes from you, if you like the podcast, the blog and the writers I employ please consider hitting DaTipJar.
Update Yup twitter locked me out live while I was on the air, unexpectedly of course
Update 2: Text of my appeal
Well the bad news is that for the 5th or 6th time you have locked me out after falsely accusing me of posting intimate images. (and after apologizing and claiming it was done in error each time) This make you look real bad.
On the plus side by continually locking me out and letting me back it gives me an excellent chance to break the world record for lock downs and victories in appeals
If you didn’t have this stuff on automatic you might be embarrassed.
And of course for the record this accusation is false but you guys already knew that when you locked me each time.
didn’t get restored instantly this time, likely because I called them out on it, so we’ll see how long it takes.
As you can see from the above image Twitter has once again upheld my appeal and restored my account this time waiting a full day as my last post about the instant automatic apology might have been a tad embarrassing for them. Of course they might not have gotten the Lewis Carroll reference I put in the last post comparing them to Fury in the famous poem which I included in my appeal (image follows)
fyi I only included the text not the image as it would not go in the appeal
But this latest “apology raised some questions which I took the liberty of asking and I include them here
as you can see was locked down again put in the appeal at 2:45 am when I got in from an overtime shift at work I guess the two consecutive tweets must have embarrassed them because they waited a full day to restore me, or perhaps they didn't get the Lewis Carroll reference https://t.co/HTVsBR9b7Q
2/3 You'll note from the apology is the same as the last time you falsely accused me of ""posting or sharing privately produced/distributed intimate media of someone without their express consent" when tweeting out that #BenfordsLaw post on Biden's #magicballots@RealRLimbaughpic.twitter.com/RGCTj8WP22
FYI I'm giving you folks fair warning along with Sen Cruz, Rush, @POTUS@EdMorrissey at @hotair the @TwitchyTeam & those opposed to #twittercensorship that I'll be tweeting that link again between 1 & 2 PM today if your "apology" & claim of "error" mean anything I won't be locked
King Arnulf: Now, I know what some of you must be thinking… the day has come…. we’re all going down, etc. etc. But let’s get away from the fantasy and look at the FACTS. FACT ONE – The threat of total destruction has kept the peace for one thousand years. FACT TWO – The chances of it failing now are therefore one in three hundred and sixty-five thousand. FACT THREE…[by this time the water is up to people’s knees, and several have crowded onto the lower steps to avoid getting wet.] FACT THREE – Our safety regulations are the most rigorous in the world. We are all nice to each other, we never rub each other up the wrong way or contradict each other, do we?
Crowd: [As the building sink and fall] No.
Citizen:We… er… do seem to be going down quite fast, Your Majesty – not trying to contradict you, course.
King Arnulf:No, of course you’re not, citizen. But let’s stick to the facts. There has NEVER been a safer, more certain way of keeping the peace. So whatever’s happening, you can rest assured, Hy-Brasil is NOT sinking. Repeat, NOT sinking.
Erik the Viking 1989
There is one dynamic that is playing on in the challenge to the Democrat Magic Ballots that deserves more attention.
I’ve already talked about the uphill climb the President has legally here. But it’s the mountain that the Democrat / Left / Media has to conquer is a higher one that is forcing them into absurdity at best and violence and intimidation at worst.
You see people who know statistics and elections know what happened. People who have followed Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee and Atlanta know what shenanigans have gone on in the past and continue to go on. this is no secret to anybody even remotely connected to these cities and states.
In fact the Democrat / Tech / Media left has apparently gone all in on the idea that there is no such thing as election fraud but that any who dare suggest so must be punished.
Donald Trump is playing Elliot Ness, he is attempting to expose and stop the corruption that people have known has been going on for decades in these cites and prove that is was enough to overturn the results of an election. He will have to have a strong case, there is a reason why Al Capone was convinced of Tax Evasion rather than bootlegging and conspiracy.
The Media / Democrat / Tech left is not satisfied with those advantages. They have they have decided to go all out to prove that there is no fraud PERIOD. It’s like telling people in Chicago in the 20’s and 30’s to declare in public that Al Capone isn’t a gangster and to punish anyone who doesn’t say so.
I think this is a mountain beyond them and even if they manage to win their cases this is a moment that has within it the seeds of their destruction.
As the election counting, and soon to be recounting, rages on, there are plenty of people that tell me they just “couldn’t vote for Trump,” even though in theory they are conservatives. Personally, I vote based on what a candidate says they support, or has demonstrated they support, for policies that I care about, ranging from foreign policy and gun control to right to life and taxes, and then on a scale of how much I care about each. For example, I care more about foreign policy and abortion than taxes because I’m directly affected by foreign policy and I’ve seen first hand how pervasive abortion theory is in hospitals, but I’m not making enough money to care if the tax rate jumps significantly.
I also know that while I’m a policy voter, many people have an emotional connection to voting, and they have to “like” the candidate they are voting for. We can discuss whether that makes sense in another article, but we should recognize that candidate likeability does matter to many people. It’s likely what got Bill Clinton elected. But is likeability enough that it mattered to Trump’s election?
Although the data isn’t complete yet, I pulled Reuters election data and used Wikipedia for 2016 election data to try and answer the question: Did people not vote for Trump that would have voted for another Republican Presidential candidate that was more likeable? I sampled data by looking at states that had Senate races. My theory was that if someone was a “Never Trumper,” they would likely still vote for the Senate Republican in their state. I also looked at Libertarian votes to see if they made a difference. The states I ended up picking were Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, Alabama, Georgia, Minnesota and Colorado, in what I think is a pretty decent spread.
First, was their a surge in Libertarian votes? Not at all.
Just looking at raw numbers, Libertarian votes went down, in many cases drastically. 2016 was a banner year for Libertarian and Green Party vote, but this year they just did not have the turnout, despite running Jo Jorgenson, a very likeable candidate.
Second, was there a noticeable Never Trump vote? I calculated the difference between Presidential votes and Senate votes between parties and then compared them. The numbers aren’t 100% aligned. I calculated a scaling factor to multiply the Senate votes by to balance numbers. Then I took the difference from Senate Republicans vs Trump votes to see if there were “Never Trumper” votes. If there were, I then calculated if the difference mattered.
The results are interesting. In Arizona and Alabama, the number was negative, meaning Trump had more votes than the Senate Republican. In the 6 states where there was Never Trump votes, only one, Georgia, would have mattered.
While not 100% scientific, we can reach a few conclusions:
The Never Trump vote is real, but not everywhere.
Where there is a Never Trump vote, it mostly doesn’t always matter, even in swing states.
Libertarian vote didn’t appreciably go up this year.
For Republicans, this is good and bad news. It means that the Never Trump faction isn’t nearly as big as the media might make it out to be. Better still, when people had a choice between a more likeable candidate (Jo Jorgensen), they actively chose not to vote for her, far more than the 2016 election would have indicated.
The bad news is that Biden wins in key states can’t be attributed to candidate hatred. Democrats ran a relatively weak, bland candidate, and he is either coming out on top or close to it. That means that overall people are looking favorably on Democrat candidates. Whether its the biased news media, demographics, vote rigging or policies, Republicans are not in a good spot, because short of major changes, they don’t have a chance at capturing the Presidency in the future.
This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Department of Defense, Department of the Navy, or any other government agency.
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