Tom Brady has once again retired from Football, this time at the age of 45 as he said he would.
This makes an opportune time to judge if his time in Tampa should be considered a success. First let’s consider it in terms of: “Was it a success for Tampa Bay”?
Won 11 or more games 7% of the time (3 seasons 1999,2002,2005)
Won their division 12% of the time (1970,1981, 1999,2002,2005,2007)
Made the playoffs 23% of the time (10 seasons)
Won at least 1 playoff game 9% of the time (1979,1997,1999,2002)
Won the Superbowl 2% (100% of the times they went 2002)
With Brady Tampa Bay…
Had a winning record 67% of the time (2 seasons)
Won 11 or more games 67% of the time (2 seasons)
Won their division 67% of the time (2 seasons)
Made the playoffs 100% of the time (3 seasons)
Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time (2 seasons)
Won the Superbowl 33% of the time (100% of the time)
By any standard for Tampa Bay the Tom Brady Years were the most successful time in their history. It is unlikely to be repeated.
Now let’s look at things from the Tom Brady standard or rather by the Tom Brady standard after age 40 In the 3 years a 40 year old Tom Brady played with the Pats he:
Had a winning record 100% of the time
Won at least 12 games 67% of the time (at least 11 100%)
Won his division 100% of the time
Made the playoffs 100% of the time
Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time
Gone to the Superbowl 67% of the time
Won the Superbowl 33% of the time
Here is how he did with Tampa Bay in his three years to age 45.
Had a winning record 67% of the time
Won at least 12 games 33% of the time (at least 11 67%)
Won his division 67% of the time
Made the playoffs 100% of the time
Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time
Gone to the Superbowl 33% of the time
Won the Superbowl 33% of the time
By the Tom Brady standard he had a small drop in performance
Here were the expectations I set at the time of his signing:
Tampa Bay Should expect to have a winning record 100% of the time Fail
Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least 10 games 67% of the time (Success)
Tampa Bay Should expect to make the playoffs 67% of the time (Exceeded expectations)
Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least one playoff game 67% of the time (Success)
They should expect to win their division at least 33% of the time (Exceeded expectations)
They should make the NFC Championship game at least once (Exceeded expectations and they one one Superbowl)
Bottom line, Tampa Bay and Tom Brady can hold their head up high. He delivered for them and they delivered for him.
Robert Stacy McCain in noting the race hustle that is going on in Memphis give a piece of solid advice to those who are elevated to sainthood after death only without an examination of their lives to discover “heroic virtue” as the church does:
Don’t resist arrest in Memphis
Just once I’d like to the see the parents in one of these cases say: “I loved my son but he was a thug who got what he deserved.” That kind of declaration would save lives, but doesn’t generate generational wealth.
Speaking of Stacy it’s been many weeks since Elon Musk stated that conservatives who had been banned by the previous regime would be restored but there is still no sign of the @RSMCCAIN account on twitter that used to have 80K+ followers, me among them, however I notice that Ali Alexander has been suspended again. I have no idea what his underlying “offense” was but from what’s being reported the twitter code is practically designed to suspend people on its own.
It’s a great reminder of the wisdom of the start of Psalm 146:3-4
Put no trust in princes,
in children of Adam powerless to save.
Who breathing his last, returns to the earth;
that day all his planning comes to nothing
These type of problems have to be solved by ourselves
I used to feel bad for people in Minnesota for the type of government they managed to get saddled with. I had always presumed that they were sensible midwest folk who had just let the left get too strong a foothold in cities.
The Minnesota Senate today passed a bill to enshrine in Minnesota law a right to abortion without limits at any time during pregnancy. Senators approved the bill, H.F. 1, by just a one-vote margin, 34-33. Gov. Tim Walz is expected to sign the sweeping measure into law.
Abortion to the day before delivery? No problem in Minnesota!
It’s news like this that makes me think that Minneapolis voters are reaping what they have sown from their worship of St. George of the fentanyl, after all why should the parent who vote to allow the murder of their kids even to the day before their birth be safe on the streets?
The Cry is “racism” as the Carolina Panthers hired Frank Reich, an experienced coach with a long record for the open job rather than elevate the interim coach of color who had played .500 ball with a .500 team as the man in charge.
Wigdor LLP, the New York City-based law firm that represents Wilks in his discrimination suit against the NFL, was “disturbed” by the Panthers’ hiring process.
“We are shocked and disturbed that after the incredible job Coach Wilks did as the interim coach, including bringing the team back into playoff contention and garnering the support of players and fans, that he was passed over for the head coach position by David Tepper,” the firm said in a statement.
I’ll make a deal with Wigdor LLP. I’ll start worrying about the supposed underrepresentation of blacks among NFL head coaches (10% of the league when blacks represent 11% of the population of the nation) when the NFL address the overrepresentation of blacks among those who play the game making six to eight figure paychecks annually (70% of the players when blacks represent 11% of the country).
Sooner or later an undrafted or released player will sue on those ground claiming “racism” and the fun will begin.
Finally as my wife has been picking up extra days at work to supplement her gardening budget for 2023 I have rediscovered the joys of going to a restaurant with a good book and slowly enjoying a meal while I read.
This week it was Commodore Hornblower by CS Forester I had a first edition sitting on my shelf but a book is not meant to sit on a shelf it’s meant to be read.
It’s amazing how relaxing such a thing can be and it’s a rather large contrast to all the cell phones around me.
Who ever thought reading a good book would be such a radical act?
Until last Monday, when Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin suffered cardiac arrest in the first quarter of game with the Cincinnati Bengals, the tragic death of 28-year-old Detroit Lions wide receiver Chuck Hughes in 1971 during a game was nearly forgotten.
But not by me–I’ll always remember. When I learned that Hamlin collapsed during a play at Paul Brown Stadium, my first thought was of Hughes–and I switched on ESPN, which was airing the Bills-Bengals game. I was stupefied when members of an ESPN studio panel repeatedly, and of course incorrectly, said that Hamlin’s collapse on the field was unprecedented.
I believe it was James Joyce who said something along the lines that the first death a person experiences is the most tragic. For me, at the age of nine, the passing of Hughes was my first death.
I was at home in the Chicago area that afternoon watching the CBS broadcast of the Chicago Bears game against the Lions. The Bears were several years into a long stretch of mediocrity, while the Lions were just entering their time in the wilderness. The prior year the Lions made the playoffs. Since then, the Lions have been victorious in just one playoff game.
Unlike the Bills-Bengals matchup, which was nationally broadcast on ESPN, the Bears-Lions game probably aired only in Chicago and other parts of the Midwest.
Late in that ’71 game with, the Bears leading by four points, the Lions, led by quarterback Greg Landry, were on a drive–which was aided by a reception by Hughes–and they were deep in Bears territory with a little more than a minute left in the game when Hughes collapsed at the end of a play.
Not only were there no smartphones or even camcorders in 1971, but NFL broadcasts five decades ago used fewer cameras than what is used now. There is no videotape of Hughes’ collapse. And there is no videotape of Chicago Bears’ middle linebacker Dick Butkus frantically waving his arms to draw attention to Hughes. Last week, Butkus recalled what happened on that afternoon in Detroit. “He was coming back after an incomplete pass, and I couldn’t believe it, the color that he had. He just dropped,” the NFL Hall of Famer said.
Trainers and doctors from both teams, as well as a physician attending the game, tended to Hughes as he lay on the grass. My recollection is that Hughes was on the turf for about twenty minutes. Although Gary Dymski, who later became a journalist and who attended the game, said it was “ten or fifteen minutes” before an ambulance arrived.
In this ABC Detroit clip, Hughes’ nephew discusses Hamlin and the death of his uncle.
Unlike last week’s Bills-Bengals game, the Bears-Lions game continued, ending with a Chicago victory. Butkus recalled that there was no talk of cancelling the game. About ninety minutes later, Hughes was declared dead at Henry Ford Hospital. I was stunned when Hughes’ passing was announced as I watched a local news program.
The cause of Hughes’ death was a heart attack. After his autopsy it was discovered that his arteries were 75 percent blocked. Hughes had been treated at Henry Ford that summer, apparently, he had suffered a minor heart attack, but medical personnel attributed his chest pains to a spleen injury.
The next day at my elementary school, the Hughes death was what everyone was discussing. As well as a rumor that Butkus “killed” Hughes after a powerful hit. Not true. That night on the Chicago ABC Monday Night Football pregame show, one of the hosts, Detroit Lions legend Alex Karras, was nearly in tears as he reminisced about his former teammate. I was close to tears too.
Immediately after Hughes’ death, the NFL made it a league rule that there must be an ambulance at all games. Life-saving protocols have since been added by the NFL–each team is required to have an Emergency Action Plan, which was activated after Hamlin’s collapse. Generally, there are over two dozen doctors of various specialties at each NFL game.
Ace Rothstein: Four reels, sevens across on three $15,000 jackpots. Do you have any idea what the odds are?
Don Ward: Shoot, it’s gotta be in the millions, maybe more.
Ace Rothstein: Three fuckin’ jackpots in 20 minutes? Why didn’t you pull the machines? Why didn’t you call me?
Don Ward: Well, it happened so quick, 3 guys won; I didn’t have a chance…
Ace Rothstein: [interrupts] You didn’t see the scam? You didn’t see what was going on?
Don Ward: Well, there’s no way to determine that…
Ace Rothstein: Yes there is! An infallible way, they won!
Casino 1995
Now that Damar Hamlin is apparently out of danger for his life let’s talk about what happened.
I work Monday nights and was completely unaware of what had happened to Damar Hamlin until my boss told me during a break. Having not seen what happened I was:
Shocked the game had not continued, after all when Patriots receiver Daryll Stingley was paralyzed by a hit in my youth he was carted off the play and the game continued (apparently Hamlin expected the same as it’s reported the 1st thing he asked when regaining consciousness was “Did we win?”.
Presumed that the hit of Hamlin must have been a whopper if it made him drop like that.
So when I got home I went straight to youtube to view the hit. As I can no longer log in due to my ban I assumed I would not have to search for it as it would be promoted as one of the most popular viewed videos out there. Instead the first video I saw pushed was this one.
Three things hit me about this rather interesting video right away.
The timing. While the video was interesting and informative what struck me about it was the time was not so much what was in it but when it went up. The video is very professional yet it was up within 90 minutes of the hit. Now granted that if you were looking to maximize exposure for your channel you would want to take advantage of the situation but to have a video this professional up that fast was, shall we say, impressive.
Practically the first words out of his mouth was emphasizes “this has nothing to do with a vaccine” Something that he made it a point to stress a 2nd time at the end of the video. It was almost as if there was an imperative for that to be stressed before anybody saw anything else.
The fact that this video was being promoted OVER VIDOES OF THE ACTUAL HIT. You would think that people would be searching for the hit first but it was as if Youtube was making it a point to make sure people saw this video before they saw the hit itself
Given what we’ve seen and learned of in terms of organized censorship I found all these things suspicious. I became more suspicious when I saw the hit in real time because my reaction was the same as every single other person I’ve talked to: that didn’t seem like much of a hit to cause this.
That caused me to make a supposition.
It’s one thing to post stories about people having sudden reactions and even death because of the vaccine on a blog that gets a few hundred hits a day or even a site that gets millions, or with a hashtag #suddendeaths on the now less censored twitter and to see polls where a quarter of the population know someone who had had a bad reaction to the vaccine or even to be familiar with the VARES data. That can and to a large degree has been “contained” by those who wish it.
It’s quite another thing for a young professional athlete in the prime of his life and in peak physical condition to suddenly drop after a hit that seemed like nothing special during a game on one of the most watched television shows of the week (Monday Night Football) in the middle of a critical game in the most popular sport in the US in front of tens of millions of people. This is something that would get hundreds of millions of people talking.
For that you need damage control STAT! Something like say a video by a medical professional done quickly that quickly denies anything to do with the vaccine and provides an alternate credible explanation STAT!
The next day on my drive into work one of the sports shows I listen to during the drive had an ex player on wondering why we don’t see this happen more often if this kind of hit can cause it, which was just what I had been saying to the folks I was driving in with before he did.
And that when the math kicked into my head. I don’t claim to be a Doctor or a medical person at all, but ‘ve always been a numbers guy and this got my wheels turning.
The doctor in the video said that for a hit to have this result it would have to take place within a few milliseconds of that particular moment in the heart cycle. Now a person not thinking of the math upon hearing this might consider this a tiny window, particularly if they think a millisecond means a millionth of a second rather than a thousandth of a second. Even a few thousandths of a second doesn’t seem like much of a window until you remember that this is a few thousands of a second during each heartbeat.
Lets do the math:
At a heart rate of 100 beats a minute (I use that considering physical activity of a game boosted by the adrenal excitement of a play) that means that the .003 to .005 millisecond window that the doctor says this hit has to take place during to cause this effect takes place between .3 and .5 of a second every minute for every player there.
Now again that doesn’t seem like much 1/3 to 1/2 of a second window during a minute that comes out to a 1/120 to 1/300 chance per minute of a hit being within that window each minute.
But that when it gets interesting.
a football game is 60 minutes unless there is overtime so let’s make some presumptions
Let’s presume an average of 120 plays in a game and at least one hit on a player per play that’s 120 hits per game
(Yes I know there are kneel down plays and out of bounds plays but there are also many overtime games and two minutes offenses where plays are done quickly plus one hit per play is actually pretty low to anyone who has every watched football).
that’s 120 hits per game. Or 120 chances for a hit to be within that 1/120 or 1/300 window PER game.
there are 32 teams in the NFL. On a week where every team is playing that’s 16 games each with 120 hits.
16 games x 120 hits = 1920 hits
Additionally not counting the playoffs each team plays a 17 game schedule with 2 preseason games that’s 19 games per year
1920 hits x 19 games in a season = 36,480 hits per season
Under the current system there are 6 playoff games the 1st week of the playoffs, 4 games the second week, 2 games the third and then the superbowl. That’s an additional 13 games at 120 hits per game per season..
13 playoff games x 120 hits = 1,560 playoff hits
added to our previous result
36,480 hits + 1,560 hits = 38,040 hits per season
of course two years ago the nfl played only a 16 game schedule but with 4 preseason games so before 2022 the base figure before the playoffs would be
1920 hits x 20 games (pre 2022) = 38,400 hits
of course there were two less playoff games
11 games x 120 hits = 1,320 pre 2022 playoff hits
meaning the total number of hits in a season would come to
38,400 + 1,320 = 39,720 total hits in a season (pre 2022)
So let’s take the doctor’s own estimate of the time during which the Commotio cordis risk of heart failure being “within milliseconds of the cycle” of a heartbeat that 1/120th of a minute to 1/300th of a minute and apply the number of hits in a season to it for this season and last season
(1/120 of a second window per minute) x 38,040 hits = 317 hits during the danger window
and to be fair let’s also do the math on the low end
(1/300 of a second windows per minute ) x 38,040 hits = 126.8 hits during the danger window
That means that in each NFL season there are between 126 and 317 hits that take place within that window. But of course the doctor said it has to be to the right which makes this a rather unique event, unless you consider that we haven’t seen this before in the 21st century. Let’s go back to the math.
During the 20th century We’ve had two NFL seasons with the current schedule meaning with the number times that a hit has taken place during the right moment are:
2 seasons x 317 hits in the danger window =
634 hits in the danger window over 2 years
to 2 seasons x 126.8 hits in the window =
253.6 hits in the danger window
and 20 seasons with the old schedule
20 seasons x ( (1/120 odds) x 39,720 hits ) = 6,620 to 20 x ( ( 1/300 ) x 39,720 ) = 2648
Meaning that in the 21th century the number of hits that are timed just right during the danger window to cause what happened to Damar Hamlin were between:
7254 to 2901 hits within the danger window since 2000
So you’re telling me that with 2901 to 7254 chances for this kind of thing to happen over the course of the 22 NFL seasons in the 21st century only one hit was hard enough and in the right place to make this happen?
And again this is the considering the NFL, this doesn’t count college games or high school games or even the Canadian football league. Nor does it count the previous 80 years of the NFL existence. Yet you want me to believe that this was just a freak event this one hit at this time was the only one out of all those game where this happened?
I’ll ignore the math above and take the official explanation that the Damar Hamlin hit was a million to one or three hundred million to one shot totally unrelated to the vaccine mandates in the NFL as gospel truth, right up until the moment it happens again to another active player.
I’ll tell you one thing, if another active NFL player drops from sudden unexpected heart failure then it will take a lot more than a good youtube video to prevent a class action suit from the players association against the league’s vax mandate, nor will it prevent similar suits from other professional players unions also subject to such rules.
At that point my belief or disbelief will be the least of anyone’s worries.
Update: I didn’t know about Chuck Hughes dying on the field in 71, as I was 8 and the NFL wasn’t anywhere near as big nationally, but John Ruberry saw it, A key note:
Immediately after Hughes’ death, the NFL made it a league rule that there must be an ambulance at all games. Life-saving protocols have since been added by the NFL–each team is required to have an Emergency Action Plan, which was activated after Hamlin’s collapse. Generally, there are over two dozen doctors of various specialties at each NFL game.
The EAP probably saved Hamlin’s life.
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