Posts Tagged ‘Trump’

Anthony Rossano: I guess you’re pretty pleased with yourself.
“Snaps” Provolone: My father would have been proud. I got my money back, and nobody got shot.
Anthony Rossano: Not so fast. I’ve been tricked. (reaches for the bag of cash)
“Snaps” Provolone: (grabs his hand) I wouldn’t do that if I were you.
Anthony Rossano: You forget, Mr Provolone, you’re going straight today.
“Snaps” Provolone: You’re right, I am going straight today, (points to the Finucci brothers in the next room) but they’re not.

Oscar 1991

One of the problems with social media in general and X in particular is the amount of extreme stupidity without thought that is expressed by people who believe the world is a video game because they haven’t had to deal with actual real world consequences of actions nor ever had real responsibility for anything that involves someone other than oneself.

Which brings us to the Iran deal or Memorandum of Understanding.

You can make the argument that we should have gotten regime change. I would have liked that very much and as a student of history and of war I’m even of the opinion that if a war which cost 10,000 US troops as causalities ended in the fall of the Mullahs it would, in the long run be to the benefit of the world in general and the US in particular. It’s worth noting that almost nobody I know would have borne the brunt of the fighting nor would have I have the responsibility of either convincing America that it’s worth the cost or writing the wives, mothers or children of those who would fall in such an action which would take at best many months, that the country is grateful for the sacrifice of their loved ones.

You could make the argument that we should have just kept bombing, that’s fine but who and what are we bombing? Do we hit military targets? Mosques? The oil fields? Are there strategic targets that would advance our efforts more that are worth our time? They have very little that can project power outside of their country left and what is able to project power inside of their country is embedded within the people. You can argue it’s worth doing but eventually it becomes big booms for small returns.

You could make the argument that we should have simply continued with the operations we were doing. That’s a strong argument as Iran is reaching a crisis point economically, and the costs of such a move military are negligible. The cost in cash to support our military on station isn’t all that much more than doing so elsewhere and our logistics are in place and every existing tanker in the gulf that we get out is one less that Iran can intimidate.

For the record I would have supported any of those three actions as being old enough to remember the hostage crisis in the Jimmy Carter years and seen what the rise of the Mullahs has done to the world (you don’t get what you have in Europe today without them) I think it’s worth it.

The problem with all three of the above scenarios is that the American people do not have the political will for any of them. Maybe when I was a kid we might have, but we live in a different society right now where not even on in 100 people serve in our military or know people who have. Where the price of gas is more valued than the price of lives by voters and where one political party has been doing all it can to support Iran & encourage them to hold on because their hatred of Donald Trump far exceeds their love for their country as both their actions and the polls clearly show.

So Donald Trump has decided on a deal a “60 day” deal which I strongly suspect will turn into a 150 day deal. I’ve read the text of it and it reads like it was written by Sir Humphrey Appleby. Most things that happen happen if other things happen first, it pretty much kicks cans down the road and basically says we’ll leave them alone as we talk to make an actual deal.

The great advantage for Iran is that it allows them, as a face society to claim some kind of victory and a bunch of people are trying to make that argument, but consider:

  • They no longer have a navy
  • Their air force is hiding in other countires
  • Their entire senior leadership is dead
  • They have exhausted a large amount of their drone and missile supply
  • They have been hurt financially to the point where their ability to project power overseas with cash is completely non-existant.

There are those who are saying that the 60 or 150 days allows them to reverse those factors but DOES it?

  • Are they going to rebuild a navy in 150 & find men willing to join?
  • Is their air-force ready to return to bases in Iran to become potential targets?
  • Are their new leaders going to feel safe anywhere in groups of 3 or more without a large amount of human shields?
  • Even if places like Russia & China have the will and the additional supplies to help Iran rearm there is
    • Insufficient cash on hand to do so
    • Limited cash from oil sales available as other suppliers are safer
    • Any Frozen assets released once used are gone
    • The base cost of rebuilding infrastructure that has already been bombed

Moreover we have the absolute ability to monitor all of this stuff via satellite & other methods, every supply method, every route will be visible and become a target for the next round of bombing when it comes.

Furthermore this isn’t a game of Civ 6 when you click a button and damage is rebuilt in one turn. It actually take real people physical time to do these things. I’m not going to say it will be as slow as the railway to nowhere that the left in California has been leeching off of for years and years but Iran is not going to be able to rebuild or project power or fund Hezbollah & send them arms for years let alone in 60, or 90 or 180 days.

Meanwhile consider what will be happening in the US both economically and politically for the Trump administration..

  • The economy continues to roll
  • Our ability to resupply & rearm for fleet and forward troops continues unabaited
  • Our manufacturing jobs continue to soar
  • With the drop of gas prices (down .36 cents in the last two weeks) the political pressure on Trump continues to drop
  • With the increase of American Oil exports the demand for Iranian oil decreases
  • Every day the Saudi pipeline to bypass the gulf moves closer to completion
  • Every tanker that leaves the gulf is one less tanker that the Iranians can use as hostages
  • Every Iranian tanker on the high seas becomes a target that can potentially be seized without much effort.

And all of that takes place with US forces still close enough to go after Iran at any time Donald Trump decides they aren’t playing ball.

Even worse for Iran the drop in gas prices undermines their allies on the left that have been doing their best to prop them up and hurts them politically. Unless they can engineer a crisis before the midterm elections it’s very likely that a strong economy will “Trump” the left’s desire to handcuff the final two years of the Trump in office.

What do they have to play: “Trump said ‘Unconditional Surrender’ hah he lost!”? Seriously? Have none of these people read his book on deal making?

Cripes you might recall US Grant who coined the phrase “Unconditional Surrender” ended up giving generous terms to Lee and Johnston (vs Sherman) to end the war. Did he lose?

If you want to find a historical parallel to what we have now it’s in the battle between the frigates USS United States and the HMS Macedonian during the war of 1812.

The United States with heavier longer range guns pulverized the Macedonian for a long while and then sailed off briefly to repair minor damage done the British ship’s cannon fire.

As soon as it was ready it sailed back toward the heavily damaged British frigate that during the brief respite was able to do little if anything to put itself back in fighting shape.

Stephen Decatur then put the United States in a position to rake the British ship (that is shoot with any danger of their guns replying) and held his fire. The brits took the hint and Decatur ended up taking the ship as a prize of war.

That’s where we are right now. Trump will spend the next six months getting his economy and his supplies in order knowing that he can at any time bomb again. Once he has finally secured a stable alternate oil supply for the world he will be in the position to seize Kharg Island if he wishes.

Iran can not rebuild or rearm or generate sufficient cash to stop this. If Trump does this things the Iranian oil industry is permanently done as the Mullahs only choice will be to destroy the pipelines that feed it or the target the oil on the island with drones. The moment that happens Iran becomes a nation without assets that can be safely ignored as it will never be able to project power or obtain revenue for generations.

In short they become a footnote to the world another Afganistan, a bunch of fanatics without the power to harm anyone but themselves

Put simply we continue to grow stronger while Iran at best struggles to maintain a semblance of order.

And any thought of reconstituting their nuke ambitions? Please, the labs, the trained techs and the machinery doesn’t grow on trees. All of that takes time, effort and heavy construction that Iran can’t do at the moment and that if it starts can be blown up at will.

In short Trump won this war the moment he started shooting & killed the Iranian leaders. He hoped Iran would fold easy, but they did not so he has the choice of winning it fast with high causalities or slow with minimal risk. He has chosen the latter and no amount of fools on social media saying otherwise changes that fact.

The only “Victory” Iran has is the ability to publicly claim it, which as a “face” society means a lot to them, but Egypt has been claiming that the 1973 war with Israel was a “victory” for 53 years but it didn’t make it so.

Or to put it another way. In what sense is Iran in better shape than the day before Trump started hitting them? (short answer, they’re not).

Closing thought 1: There seems to be a lot of talk about Israel, Lebanon and Hezbollah concerning this deal but having read the document I didn’t see the words “Israel” or “Lebanon” or “Hezbollah” anywhere.

Closing thought 2: To my knowledge Israel is not a signatory to this deal. Therefore they are not restrained by it at all. There is nothing stopping them from hitting Lebanon, hitting Hezbollah, hitting Gaza or even hitting Iran. I suspect if they do Trump will make loud public protests after the fact that will upset allies of Israel, but do nothing to prevent it before the fact. Bibi is Trump ace in the hole:

Closing thought 3: You can also make the argument that like all Tyrannies this is a crack in the dam that will eventually cause them to fall. Tyrannies always seem invincible to the outside world just before they collapse suddenly.

Jack Klugman as Jessie Cardiff in The Twilight Zone: A Game of Pool 1961

Jessie Cardiff: There it is- the game ball. All my life i’ve been waiting for this, it’s it’s a pocket hanger.

The Twilight Zone: A Game of Pool 1961

Back in the days when I was first going to CPAC I found myself in line to get into an event with Michelle Malkin (who graciously filmed a “hello” video for my brother). In the line behind me was a gentleman who claimed to have had an affair with President Obama. He was quite emphatic & gave interesting details but with only a single source & no corroboration it wasn’t a priority to me.

This was before his re-election and his “change of heart” on gay marriage.

It was about that time or maybe a few years later that I first heard the “Michelle Obama is a man” rumors. I dismissed them out of hand thinking that I’m not a fan of going after a first lady & anyways it would be so easy to disprove that it was to be ignored. It was for the same reason that I dismissed the same lines about the French president’s wife, which is now the subject of a lawsuit.

As you might know this weekend at the fight at the White House, one of the fighters, after his victory bluntly and loudly said that Michelle Obama is a guy.

I found this fascinating for a couple of reasons.

  1. It was done at the most public forum avaialble
  2. There seems to be no movement or effort by anyone to make the guy retract the statement
  3. There is every possible incentive for the Democrats to urge the Obamas to sue because
    • There is now a very long precedent of defamation suits by leaders, Trump has made an art form out of it.
    • The Obama library is in debt already & a settlement would help in that reguard
    • That this happened at a Trump event should make Democrats chomping at the bit to sue.
    • When the current first lady was defamed by the press her threat of a lawsuit brought a quick retraction.
    • Such a suit would mean that every republican running for office could be asked “do you believe it?”
    • It gets der Oysterfurher in Maine off the front page.
    • It would be the most easy thing in the world to prove as false

That last one is a kicker, a photo of a pregnant Michelle Obama, a hospital picture with the newborn kids, easiest thing in the world to produce, cripes even a DNA sample taken today could do it.

Yet not only has it not produced a suit or even a threat of a suit but it’s already off the front pages assuming it ever made it on the front pages.

Moreover on X one of the biggest Gadfly’s to the left has publicly said this:

Now this was posted to X where the fellow has 4 MILLION followers. Even if you weren’t interested in suing the fighter you could bankrupt & destroy this fellow who has been one of the strongest voices on the right for quite a bit. It would be a one foot putt or as Jack Klugman’s character Jessie Cardiff in the Twilight Zone episode a game of pool put it: “A pocket hanger”! It’s a shot you can’t miss. One tiny DNA sample & it’s game over!

I ask myself a simple question: “Why would the Democrats not go all in on this, particularly when the latest polls show their generic lead in the midterms dropping?”

There is a logical answer to this question. That logical answer isn’t evidence but it does make one think.

If anyone from the left has a more logical answer I’m ready to hear it.

Closing thought: Even if the party or the Obamas aren’t interested in doing so, there are a ton of leftists on X and/or Bluesky who would absolutely LOVE to take down Catturd & claim his scalp. It will be interesting to see if anyone on X files a complaint against him or talks about doing so publicly.

It would be more interesting if such a person was approached by the Democrat party & told not to.

“The difference between War and what we have now is we’re not shooting back”

Philadelphia Newspaper in 1917 on Germany’s Unrestricted Submarine Warfare

I woke up to the news that we are hitting Iran and that we apparently are apparently going to finally going to take out that that regime.

Here is his speech in full:

For 40 years they sponsored terrorism all over the world. They were responsible for attacks against American troops & interests all over the world. It is because of the Ayatollah’s in Iran that the Brits, French, Canadians & others are now bowing down before Islam.

Additionally our enemies (China & Russia) have been able to use Iran as a proxy

Let’s be very blunt, I was 16 when they took our people hostages. We should have delivered an ultimatum to them on the spot and destroyed the Ayatollah’s regime at that time while it was still weak. The world paid a horrible price for our failure to do so in 1979 & you might even say that millions all over the planet might have been saved if we had. Furthermore the Iranian people would have been spared even more.

I’m sure that president from Regan to Bush 2 (who actually had Iran surrounded with armies to the east and west of the nation at one point) had reasons not to act & thought it prudent to avoid such things.

You could also make the case that the Iranian people had not yet reached the point where they had had enough. Many Marxists who cheered the fall of the Shah and the coming of Khomeini ended up against a wall as all useful idiots do. It was just 30 days ago that tens of thousands of Iranians died proving that they are ready for this regime of evil to be destroyed.

There were other presidents & administrations who decided that Iran was worthy of US tax dollars by the pallet. I have thoughts on that which we won’t go into today but fortunately that president is no longer in charge so we can wait until the intelligence files of a fallen Islamic Iran are opened to scrutiny to speculate why.

Now we have Donald Trump. We don’t have to speculate why he is doing what he’s doing. Put simply he has decided in his 2nd term to take care of all family business and Iran is one of those pieces of business that is being taken care of.:

It’s been a long time coming. I’m glad to see it in my lifetime.

I’d like to close with some tweets from a month ago that has aged rather well first this:

Apparently the amount of time is 44 days

It’s an interesting thread. I respect Dr. Shanker, he doesn’t like Trump but he’s an honest guy.

This reminds me of Longstreet who never wanted to move until he had everything ready. If Lee had listened to him we might have lost at Gettysburg.

One thing I will say, he has to finish the job, the mullahs have to fall, if not it’s a failure.

The fact that Georgia election officials are “not disputing” the fact that hundreds of thousands of early votes were illegally counted in election 2020 effectively costing Trump the state (and likely the GOP a senate seat) tells me how far the worm has turned.

4 years ago such an admission would have been the height of courage putting futures and prosperity at risk.

Today it’s a matter of fact statement.

I predict that as the risk to people’s futures decrease more of these kinds of admissions will come from various states. After all as I’ve said before cowardice is the norm courage is the exception.


At the time of the Mar-a-lago raid I wrote this:

The sheer panic on the left concerning a 2nd Trump term suggest to me something different.

Could it be that the left is even more corrupt than we think? Could it be that the stuff that they’ve been doing, enabling and coordinating is even more horrific than that worst conspiracy theorists have imagined? Could it be that the Epstein’s of the world are the norm for the left and not the exception and that they’ve only caught the one?

Given what we’re seeing in terms of fraud in Minnesota and the amount of Dems and their friends getting Epstein exposure these days this statement is becoming more and more apparent.


The President took some heat for his statements after the murder of Rob Reiner & wife by his own son. I would not have made those statements & think they were a bit crass. Said heat however is meaningless because:

  • It’s primaraly coming from people who never supported him anyways
  • Trump being a tad crass with enemies is the norm & not a shock
  • Many of these same people are still cheering Charlie Kirk’s murder

But for me the real question is this: If somebody spent the last ten years calling you a Nazi & trying to get you jailed would you be able to be gracious at the moment of their death?

Cue Jim Hacker:

One of the things that has become clear to me in the last year has been how much the steal of election 2020 has paid huge dividends for the nation in a completely unexpected way.


If the steal had been foiled everything from USAID funding to the fraud in Minnesota would likely never have been exposed. VP Mike Pence of the deep state would have steered the country to protect such folks & a lot of what has been going on for decades would have remained under the radar.

Instead Trump has spent the first year of his return not only actively working for the country but exposing evils that have been ignored and tolerated for decades.

This not only is “The Lord works in mysterious ways” squared but affirms what I consider the actual definition of faith in God which is:

Trusting that God knows what he's doing even if he hasn't told you

Finally the inflation numbers where “unexpectedly” excellent showing signs of an improving economy but to me the real sign of that was yesterday at work were I found myself on loan from my normal Inventory Control Duties to a client who had a burst in sales six days from Christmas keeping me on my feet for 8 hours.

One year ago all our “peak” temps were gone by Cyber Monday lasting only 4 days after black Friday.

Yesterday it has been 22 days since Black Friday and a good chunk of our temps were still at work.

I doubt I will see them on Monday as even a Trump economy can’t change the laws of physics & cause packages shipped on the 22nd to reach destinations around the country by the 24th but the fact they are still here (and the suggestion that a few will be kept on to deal with the returns season) tells me the economy is about to hit the accellerator.

If it does I suspect it will have the same effect on election 2026 as the fall of Atlanta did on the election of 1864