Archive for January 19, 2010

In normal times candidates are looking for a strong person on the top of the ballot to increase turnout for people below it who do not have name recognition but share the party of that top name.

As we’ve reported here before, the one constant in this race has been that people do NOT like Martha Coakley (not even her supporters, I’ve run into only 3 who actually like her). Even with the superstars of the Democratic Party around her, she can not draw crowds comparable to Brown.

When you have an unpopular person at the top of the ticket, the dynamic reverses you need races on a local level that people care about to get your core voters to turn out.

But there is no other race, she is alone, she is trailing in the polls and it is cold and snowy. As of 1:44 p.m. there is STILL no person holding a sign for Coakley at ward 6.

The local democratic pols have absolutely no skin in this race and they see the probability of their regular voters ready to vote republican. They are not going to spend their political capital on a race that appears to be lost for no political reward.

There is nothing local at stake

Update: It’s one thing for the local pols to sit back and do nothing, this is quite another:

He is the president of an American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) local in Worcester and says that he is one of three officials of the local who is supporting Republican Scott Brown.

There is top-down pressure from AFSCME pressuring locals to support Democrat Martha Coakley, but the president of this local (there are multiple AFSCME locals in Worcester) says he tosses those directives “straight in the garbage.”

Make sure you read the last line in that story.

…turn on MSNBC and just watch the anchors and reporters. I haven’t seen these people so downhearted since the Palin speech at the 2008 convention.

but in this case, there is no bliss, just ignorance and a lack of honor and they even know it on MSNBC.

Turnout is steady at the polling station at the Senior center, more signs for the local Sheriff candidate and one sign holder for Brown. He’s getting a lot of positive feedback from the passers by. When asked if anyone showed up for Coakley they said one person stayed 30 seconds and left leaving three Martha Coakley signs turned face down against the building.

He Believes this is going to be the start of something big in the state for republicans.

Update: Stacy’s site is down again.

Update 2: Ran into the Mayor Lisa Wong as she prepared to go to vote, she was enthusiastic in her support for Martha Coakley who she has known personally since she was a young girl.

She thought the turnout might be lighter not just because of the weather but due to “election fatigue” due to so many special elections in so short a time.

When asked to predict the results she did not hesitate to proclaim that Martha Coakley would win the day. She lamented that the race seemed to be turning on national issues rather than local ones but praised contested elections “Contested elections keep us honest”.

Scott Brown certainly seems to providing a contested election.

Update 3: She might be more hesitant if she saw Stacy’s interview with Annie DiMartino. Annie is an old school Tip O’Neill pol. She would NEVER suggest on camera that Brown had the edge if there was the slightest chance for Coakley today.

Oh and one other thing: Annie is a saint and a friend. She never opened her diner on Saturdays because she used it as a base to organize supplies to food banks and directly to the poor and hungry. Anybody who says a bad word about Annie in my presence will have to deal with me.

Update 4: Would you believe I just got a call about a computer job. Absolutely no time to answer the questionnaire right now but I was able to discover that the person calling was a Massachusetts resident and will likely be voting for Scott Brown later in the day.

Update 5: Moran Square Dinner: The feeling there is the same as Mike Barnicle, Coakley ran a horrible Campaign. Among the customers who pass through she runs THIRD behind Brown and Kennedy.